MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion pod Vrmcem
Bokelj
Match Timeline
Dečić
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
33'
B. Musah ↔ B. Stamenkovic
Bokelj
🔄
46'
T. Selimi ↔ D. Perovic
Dečić
🔄
60'
D. Bozovic ↔ M. Bozanovic
Dečić
🔄
60'
B. Radusinovic ↔ L. Maras
Dečić
🔄
60'
H. Kajoshaj ↔ I. Camaj
Dečić
63'
K. Radunovic
Bokelj
🔄
66'
D. Bumbar ↔ Z. Mugosa
Bokelj
🔄
66'
S. Golubovic ↔ B. Nurkovic
Bokelj
🔄
69'
A. Maloku ↔ S. Golubovic
Dečić
🔄
81'
F. Mukovic ↔ A. Krivokapic
Bokelj
🔄
81'
L. Maras ↔ Z. Vilotijevic
Bokelj

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bokelj Win 40.4%
Draw 16%
Dečić Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bokelj1.17
Dečić1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bokelj Bokelj
WWDLW
37 GF / 48 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
48 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bokelj Bokelj 35 matches
Dečić Dečić 39 matches
Bokelj Statistic Dečić
7 Wins 15
12 Draws 9
16 Losses 15
37 Goals For 48
48 Goals Against 52
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 2
0 Total Shots 8
0 Corners 6
0% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dečić. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control.

Bokelj Analysis

So far, Bokelj have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 33 points from 34 matches. The record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 36:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Mukovic (5 goals), I. Pocek (4 goals), K. Radunovic (4 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dečić Analysis

Placed 3 with 51 points from 34 outings, Dečić continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 42:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Selimi (10 goals), A. Kajevic (6 goals), D. Bozovic (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pavlicevic (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bokelj won 4 times, Dečić won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Bokelj's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84%)
Predicted formations: Bokelj - / Dečić 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bokelj wins 4, draws 3, Dečić wins 7

Lineups

Bokelj
Formation
Dečić
S. Spasojevic
S. Spasojevic
F. Mukovic
F. Mukovic
L. Maras
L. Maras
K. Radunovic
K. Radunovic
D. Bumbar
D. Bumbar
B. Musah
B. Musah
S. Golubovic
S. Golubovic
S. Vico
S. Vico
I. Cukovic
I. Cukovic
M. Cavor
M. Cavor
B. Raso
B. Raso
D. Radosevic
D. Radosevic
D. Bozovic
D. Bozovic
A. Maloku
A. Maloku
P. Ljuljdjuraj
P. Ljuljdjuraj
T. Selimi
T. Selimi
P. Sekulovic
P. Sekulovic
R. Gjelaj
R. Gjelaj
N. Braunovic
N. Braunovic
B. Radusinovic
B. Radusinovic
H. Kajoshaj
H. Kajoshaj
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
Bokelj 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
88
S. Spasojevic
8
F. Mukovic
↓ 81'
11
L. Maras
↓ 81'
14
K. Radunovic
⚽ 63'
15
D. Bumbar
↓ 66'
19
B. Musah
↓ 33'
21
S. Golubovic
↓ 66'
22
S. Vico
26
I. Cukovic
29
M. Cavor
33
B. Raso
Substitutes
1
D. Cetkovic
7
V. Janketic
16
Z. Mugosa
↑ 66'
17
S. Mrsulja
23
A. Krivokapic
↑ 81'
27
B. Radevic
31
B. Nurkovic
↑ 66'
80
Z. Vilotijevic
↑ 81'
99
B. Stamenkovic
↑ 33'
Dečić 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
D. Radosevic
7
D. Bozovic
↓ 60'
8
A. Maloku
↓ 69'
15
P. Ljuljdjuraj
19
T. Selimi
↓ 46'
20
P. Sekulovic
23
R. Gjelaj
29
N. Braunovic
32
B. Radusinovic
↓ 60'
50
H. Kajoshaj
↓ 60'
72
I. Ndiaye
Substitutes
21
A. Camaj
33
M. Dragojevic
16
M. Bozanovic
↑ 60'
17
L. Ujkaj
18
L. Maras
↑ 60'
27
S. Golubovic
↑ 69'
34
I. Camaj
↑ 60'
44
D. Perovic
↑ 46'
Last matches: Bokelj
09.08.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Otrant-Olympic
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
BSK Banja Luka
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
03.06.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
2
0
W
29.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
0
0
D
20.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
0
2
L
12.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
04.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
2
L
Last matches: Dečić
08.08.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
02.08.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
15.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
20.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
10.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
H2H: Bokelj vs Dečić
24.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
0
2
W
20.04.25
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
1
0
L
24.03.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
1
2
W
18.08.24
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
L
12.07.20
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
03.06.20
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
2
1
L
27.10.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
3
1
W
04.09.19
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
3
0
L
08.05.19
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
1
0
L
24.03.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
04.11.18
H2H
Dečić
Bokelj
1
0
L
Last matches: Bokelj
09.08.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Otrant-Olympic
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
BSK Banja Luka
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
29.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Grbalj
0
0
D
16.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
2
3
L
18.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
0
2
L
08.04.26
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Bokelj
Jedinstvo
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fir
Bokelj
Mladost DG
0
0
D
06.12.25
Fir
Bokelj
Dečić
1
1
D
22.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
01.11.25
Fir
Bokelj
Sutjeska
4
5
L
18.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Jezero
3
0
W
01.10.25
Fir
Bokelj
Petrovac
1
2
L
21.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Bokelj
Mornar
1
2
L
H2H at home: Bokelj
24.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
W
06.12.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
1
D
24.03.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
L
12.07.20
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
3
1
W
24.03.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
Last matches: Dečić
08.08.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
06.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
1
1
D
22.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
18.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
01.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
0
4
L
24.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
10.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
H2H away: Dečić
24.05.26
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
1
1
D
24.03.25
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
W
18.08.24
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
1
W
12.07.20
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
3
1
L
24.03.19
H2H
Bokelj
Dečić
0
0
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation