COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
25.07.2026 21:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Bogota FC
Match Timeline
Union Magdalena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
K. Aladesanmi
Bogota FC
🔄
58'
R. Vanegas ↔ H. Sandoval Lasso
Bogota FC
🔄
58'
G. Arrieta ↔ J. Farias
Union Magdalena
🟨
62'
H. Sandoval Lasso
Bogota FC
🔄
69'
K. Aladesanmi ↔ J. Velasco
Bogota FC
🔄
69'
J. Congo ↔ F. Mosquera
Union Magdalena
🔄
69'
J. Mercado ↔ J. Giraldo
Union Magdalena
🔄
69'
C. Iguaran ↔ J. Pimienta
Union Magdalena
🔄
84'
N. Segura ↔ K. Viveros
Bogota FC
🟨
89'
D. Mera
Union Magdalena
🔄
89'
K. Salazar ↔ M. Vergara
Union Magdalena
🟨
90'
K. Viveros
Bogota FC

Bogota FC vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.6%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bogota FC Win 32.4%
Draw 19.2%
Union Magdalena Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bogota FC0.88
Union Magdalena1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WWDLW
19 GF / 24 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WLDWL
36 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
11
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bogota FC Bogota FC 22 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 22 matches
Bogota FC Statistic Union Magdalena
6 Wins 12
8 Draws 6
8 Losses 4
19 Goals For 36
24 Goals Against 20
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
11 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 19
6 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Bogota FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union Magdalena. Union Magdalena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 9 points while Bogota FC sit 4 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Bogota FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 4 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 9 points after 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 8:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bogota FC won 5 times, Union Magdalena won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Bogota FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
H2H summary: Bogota FC wins 5, draws 3, Union Magdalena wins 6

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)