COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bogota FC Win 62.5%
Draw 14.8%
Patriotas Win 22.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bogota FC0.95
Patriotas1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 25 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
11
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bogota FC Bogota FC 25 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 17 matches
Bogota FC Statistic Patriotas
7 Wins 5
9 Draws 6
9 Losses 6
20 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 20
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
11 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bogota FC's more proactive style and Patriotas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Patriotas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 6 with 23 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:14 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Patriotas Analysis

So far, Patriotas have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 13:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bogota FC won 1 times, Patriotas won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:10 from Bogota FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
H2H summary: Bogota FC wins 1, draws 1, Patriotas wins 5
Last matches: Bogota FC
06.08.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Leones FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Santander
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Orsomarso
2
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Soacha
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Envigado
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Quindio
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Tigres FC
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Popayan
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Patriotas
1
0
W
Last matches: Patriotas
31.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Envigado
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
26.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Ind. Yumbo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
3
3
D
16.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
12.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Quindio
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Tigres FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Soacha
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Barranquilla
0
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
1
3
L
23.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Soacha
0
3
L
20.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
15.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
1
0
W
H2H: Bogota FC vs Patriotas
14.02.26
H2H
Patriotas
Bogota FC
0
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Patriotas
Bogota FC
1
1
D
24.03.25
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
2
L
13.08.23
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
25.02.23
H2H
Patriotas
Bogota FC
2
0
L
11.04.19
H2H
Patriotas
Bogota FC
1
0
L
20.03.19
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
3
L
Last matches: Bogota FC
06.08.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Leones FC
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
13.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Orsomarso
2
0
W
01.04.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Soacha
2
2
D
20.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Quindio
0
2
L
11.03.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Tigres FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Depor FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Popayan
2
1
W
09.02.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Leones FC
0
1
L
12.10.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Real Soacha
0
3
L
21.09.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Barranquilla
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Tigres FC
1
0
W
26.08.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Cucuta
2
1
W
10.08.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
27.07.25
Pri
Bogota FC
Depor FC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Bogota FC
24.03.25
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
2
L
13.08.23
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
1
L
20.03.19
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
3
L
Last matches: Patriotas
31.07.26
Pri
Patriotas
Real Santander
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patriotas
Envigado
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Ind. Yumbo
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Union Magdalena
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Patriotas
Tigres FC
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Patriotas
Barranquilla
0
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
1
3
L
20.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Cartagena
1
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Popayan
0
1
L
02.11.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Soacha
0
1
L
24.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Depor FC
3
1
W
06.10.25
Pri
Patriotas
Tigres FC
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Leones FC
1
0
W
08.09.25
Pri
Patriotas
Real Soacha
1
0
W
26.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Internacional Palmira
0
1
L
13.08.25
Pri
Patriotas
Orsomarso
2
2
D
26.07.25
Pri
Patriotas
Barranquilla
1
3
L
13.07.25
Pri
Patriotas
Cucuta
0
2
L
H2H away: Patriotas
24.03.25
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
2
W
13.08.23
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
1
W
20.03.19
H2H
Bogota FC
Patriotas
0
3
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 17 10 3 4 28:17 11 33
D W W W L
3 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
4 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
5 17 7 6 4 26:19 7 27
D L L L W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L