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TURKEY › 1. LIG
17.10.2026 16:00
Bodrum Ilce Stadi
Referee: Suleyman Bahadir

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.6%
1.44 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.78 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.1%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
4.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bodrum FK Win 27.4%
Draw 20.4%
Bandırmaspor Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodrum FK0.9
Bandırmaspor1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
WLDWL
15 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
2
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 10 matches
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 10 matches
Bodrum FK Statistic Bandırmaspor
2 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 2
11 Goals For 15
9 Goals Against 6
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
3.8 Shots On Goal 5.8
10.9 Total Shots 13.9
4.2 Corners 4.9
47.3% Ball Possession 61.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bandırmaspor's more proactive style and Bodrum FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bandırmaspor carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 13 points while Bodrum FK sit 15 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bandırmaspor. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodrum FK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bandırmaspor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bandırmaspor having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Bodrum FK Analysis

Bodrum FK sit 15 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Bilsel (2 goals), Fernando Andrade (2 goals), V. Aboubakar (1 goals), with creative support from B. Yavuzay (2 assists), F. Loshaj (1 assists), E. Arslan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bandırmaspor Analysis

Bandırmaspor are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Badji (3 goals), Gianni Bruno (3 goals), T. Kehinde (2 goals), with creative support from A. Badji (2 assists), M. Gümüşkaya (2 assists), T. Kehinde (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bodrum FK won 2 times, Bandırmaspor won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Bodrum FK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: Bodrum FK 4-2-3-1 / Bandırmaspor 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bodrum FK wins 2, draws 4, Bandırmaspor wins 2

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 10 4 3 3 13:14 -1 15
L D W D L
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 10 3 5 2 15:6 9 14
D W L D W
10 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
11 10 2 6 2 14:13 1 12
D W D D W
12 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
13 10 2 5 3 11:9 2 11
W L D W L
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
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