NORWAY ELITESERIEN
30.08.2026 12:30
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: O. Nilsen
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Rosenborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
David Duris
Rosenborg
35'
Simen Bolkan Nordli · Assist: Emil Konradsen Ceide
Rosenborg
40'
Fredrik Bjorkan
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
54'
Simen Bolkan Nordli ↔ Noah Sahsah
Rosenborg
🔄
54'
David Duris ↔ Jonas Sogaard Mortensen
Rosenborg
58'
Fredrik Bjorkan · Assist: Odin Luras Bjortuft
Bodo/Glimt
61'
Andreas Helmersen · Assist: Fredrik Bjorkan
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
65'
Adrian Nilsen Pereira ↔ Maciej Soboczynski
Rosenborg
🔄
65'
Aslak Fonn Witry ↔ Mark Mampassi
Rosenborg
🔄
72'
Jens Petter Hauge ↔ Ole Didrik Blomberg
Bodo/Glimt
77'
Andreas Helmersen · Assist: Sondre Auklend
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
80'
Fredrik Bjorkan ↔ Isak Dybvik Maatta
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
80'
Sondre Auklend ↔ Joshua Kitolano
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
80'
Ola Brynhildsen ↔ Joel Mvuka
Bodo/Glimt
88'
Emil Konradsen Ceide · Assist: Ole Selnaes
Rosenborg
🔄
88'
Sondre Fet ↔ Ulrik Saltnes
Bodo/Glimt
🟨
88'
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.6%
1.36
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.90
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 73.6%
Draw 3.4%
Rosenborg Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.22
Rosenborg1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
71 GF / 20 GA
Rosenborg Rosenborg
WLDWL
36 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.84
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
10
BTTS Yes
10
20
Over 2.5
14
6.57
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 25 matches
Rosenborg Rosenborg 25 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Rosenborg
20 Wins 12
3 Draws 4
2 Losses 9
71 Goals For 36
20 Goals Against 32
2.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
10 BTTS Yes 10
23 Over 1.5 21
20 Over 2.5 14
14 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 9
6.57 Shots On Goal 4.65
16.43 Total Shots 12.94
6.9 Corners 6.47
63.7% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Rosenborg. Bodo/Glimt arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 41 points compared to Rosenborg in 7 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 41 points after 17 matches. With 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 43:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Andreas Helmersen (6 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), with creative support from Ole Didrik Blomberg (5 assists), Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Rosenborg Analysis

Rosenborg sit 7 with 24 points after 17 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:22 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Amin Chiakha (8 goals), Iver Fossum (3 goals), Simen Nordli (3 goals), with creative support from Ole Selnaes (5 assists), Emil Konradsen Ceide (3 assists), Mads Bomholt (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 5 times, Rosenborg won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:20 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3 / Rosenborg 4-3-3
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 6, Rosenborg 3
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 5, draws 6, Rosenborg wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 20 11 3 6 43:30 13 36
W W W W L
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
6 20 9 3 8 36:29 7 30
W W L W W
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 20 6 7 7 23:26 -3 25
D D D L L
10 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
11 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
12 20 6 4 10 22:34 -12 22
W L L D W
13 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
14 20 5 4 11 20:37 -17 19
L W D L W
15 20 3 9 8 31:45 -14 18
L W L D D
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen