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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
17.07.2026 17:15
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Fredrikstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
44'
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fredrikstad
VAR
45+1'
Ola Brynhildsen
Bodo/Glimt
⚽
45'
O. Blomberg
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
46'
S. Laghzaoui ↔ G. Wesseh
Fredrikstad
🟨
50'
Benjamin Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
58'
L. Owusu ↔ O. Skari Hansen
Fredrikstad
🟨
59'
Sondre Auklend
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
69'
J. Kitolano ↔ P. Berg
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
69'
O. Brynhildsen ↔ J. Hauge
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
69'
K. Hogh ↔ A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
75'
B. Faraas ↔ J. Nunez
Fredrikstad
🔄
75'
F. Ghebreyohannes ↔ J. Nysveen
Fredrikstad
🟨
80'
Simen Rafn
Fredrikstad
VAR
82'
Jens Petter Hauge
Bodo/Glimt
⚽
82'
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
83'
O. Blomberg ↔ F. Bjorkan
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
86'
S. Rafn ↔ A. Andresen
Fredrikstad
🟨
88'
Martin Borsheim
Fredrikstad
🔄
90+2'
S. Auklend ↔ U. Saltnes
Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 88%
Draw 5.2%
Fredrikstad Win 6.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.35
Fredrikstad1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
46 GF / 13 GA
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WLDWL
33 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2.88
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
6
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
13
6.67
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 16 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 22 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Fredrikstad
12 Wins 9
2 Draws 6
2 Losses 7
46 Goals For 33
13 Goals Against 34
2.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
6 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
6.67 Shots On Goal 3.83
17 Total Shots 12.08
7 Corners 4.58
65.2% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bodo/Glimt's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bodo/Glimt arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 26 points compared to Fredrikstad in 10 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fredrikstad. Bodo/Glimt come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Fredrikstad in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fredrikstad having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 12 matches. The return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 30:11, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), Fredrik Sjøvold (3 goals), with creative support from Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Ole Didrik Blomberg (3 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with O. L. Bjortuft, M. Riisnaes, A. Mikkelsen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Fredrikstad Analysis

So far, Fredrikstad have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 15:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Daniel Eid (2 goals), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (2 goals), Rocco Robert Shein (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Eid (1 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Rocco Robert Shein (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with S. Kvile, S. Sorlokk unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 6 times, Fredrikstad won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:2 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2 / Fredrikstad 3-4-3
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 4, Fredrikstad 5
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 6, draws 1, Fredrikstad wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen