ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
22.08.2026 14:00
Ewood Park
Referee: Tom Reeves, England
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
J. Sarmiento · Assist: M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
24'
Oladapo Afolayan
Blackburn
🟨
45+2'
Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
49'
A. Gudjohnsen · Assist: H. Pickering
Blackburn
55'
T. Cantwell
Blackburn
🟨
58'
Sam Morsy
Blackburn
🔄
60'
M. Peart-Harris ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
60'
J. Sarmiento ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
O. Afolayan ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
61'
R. Morishita ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
🔄
69'
S. Morsy ↔ A. Forshaw
Blackburn
🔄
69'
A. Gudjohnsen ↔ Y. Ohashi
Blackburn
🟨
76'
Todd Cantwell
Blackburn
🔄
77'
M. Arfsten ↔ Neto Borges
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
S. Berhalter ↔ L. Castledine
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
T. Cantwell ↔ H. Carter
Blackburn
🟨
90'
Will Lankshear
Middlesbrough

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 57.3%
Draw 8.5%
Middlesbrough Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.6
Middlesbrough1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 6 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4 matches
Blackburn Statistic Middlesbrough
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 7
10 Total Shots 23
5 Corners 5
45% Ball Possession 76%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 7 times, Middlesbrough won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Blackburn's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-4-2
Missing players: Blackburn 6, Middlesbrough 2
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 7, draws 6, Middlesbrough wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One