ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ewood Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds 3.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
3.54
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 57.3%
Draw 8.5%
Middlesbrough Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.6
Middlesbrough1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 6 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4 matches
Blackburn Statistic Middlesbrough
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 7
10 Total Shots 23
5 Corners 5
45% Ball Possession 76%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 7 times, Middlesbrough won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Blackburn's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-2-2-2
Missing players: Blackburn 6, Middlesbrough 2
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 7, draws 6, Middlesbrough wins 2
Last matches: Blackburn
14.08.26
Cha
Blackburn
Wolves
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Blackburn
Huddersfield
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Strasbourg
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Accrington ST
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
14.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Derby
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
15.08.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H: Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
21.03.26
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
26.12.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
04.04.25
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
11.01.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
1
W
27.11.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
16.09.23
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
29.12.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
15.10.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
1
2
W
24.01.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
28.08.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
1
W
03.11.20
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
01.02.20
H2H
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
1
1
D
17.08.19
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
Last matches: Blackburn
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
03.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Hull City
0
1
L
24.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Watford
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Charlton
2
2
D
01.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Wrexham
0
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
1
1
D
02.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Ipswich
1
1
D
26.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
0
1
L
08.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
L
25.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
2
1
W
21.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
H2H at home: Blackburn
21.03.26
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
04.04.25
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
29.12.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
24.01.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
03.11.20
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
17.08.19
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
H2H away: Middlesbrough
21.03.26
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
04.04.25
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
2
1
L
29.12.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
24.01.22
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
03.11.20
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
17.08.19
H2H
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.09
Draw 3.45
Home 3.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.72
Draw 2.23
Home 4.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.0 1.49
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.78
Over 3.5 3.45
Over 4.5 6.86
Under 1.5 3.48
Under 2.0 2.66
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.40
Home 3.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.20
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.40
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.07
Draw 3.40
Home 3.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.64
Draw 2.09
Home 4.22
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.41
Draw 2.44
Home 3.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.22
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.24
Over 3.75 3.94
Over 4.0 5.35
Over 4.25 5.70
Over 4.5 6.05
Over 5.0 9.60
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.40
Under 0.75 7.75
Under 1.0 7.20
Under 1.25 4.22
Under 1.5 3.18
Under 1.75 2.82
Under 2.0 2.46
Under 2.25 2.05
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 3.35
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.18
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.55
Home 3.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.25 2.95
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 4.5 6.50
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 1.75 3.05
Under 2.0 2.65
Under 2.25 2.10
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 4.5 1.08

Missing Players

Blackburn 6 missing
-
L. Miller
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
S. Wharton
Questionable Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
M. Baradji
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
D. De Neve
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Jorgensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Kargbo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Middlesbrough 2 missing
-
A. Morris
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
T. Conway
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT