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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
22.08.2026 14:00
Ewood Park
Referee: Tom Reeves, England
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
J. Sarmiento · Assist: M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
24'
Oladapo Afolayan
Blackburn
🟨
45+2'
Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
⚽
49'
A. Gudjohnsen · Assist: H. Pickering
Blackburn
⚽
55'
T. Cantwell
Blackburn
🟨
58'
Sam Morsy
Blackburn
🔄
60'
M. Peart-Harris ↔ R. McGree
Middlesbrough
🔄
60'
J. Sarmiento ↔ K. Joseph
Middlesbrough
🔄
61'
O. Afolayan ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
61'
R. Morishita ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
🔄
69'
S. Morsy ↔ A. Forshaw
Blackburn
🔄
69'
A. Gudjohnsen ↔ Y. Ohashi
Blackburn
🟨
76'
Todd Cantwell
Blackburn
🔄
77'
M. Arfsten ↔ Neto Borges
Middlesbrough
🔄
77'
S. Berhalter ↔ L. Castledine
Middlesbrough
🔄
80'
T. Cantwell ↔ H. Carter
Blackburn
🟨
90'
Will Lankshear
Middlesbrough

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 57.3%
Draw 8.5%
Middlesbrough Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.6
Middlesbrough1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 6 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4 matches
Blackburn Statistic Middlesbrough
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 7
10 Total Shots 23
5 Corners 5
45% Ball Possession 76%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 7 times, Middlesbrough won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Blackburn's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-4-2
Missing players: Blackburn 6, Middlesbrough 2
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 7, draws 6, Middlesbrough wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
4 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
5 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
6 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
7 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
8 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
9 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
10 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
11 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
12 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
13 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
16 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
17 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
18 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
19 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
20 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One