ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
02.05.2026 11:30
Ewood Park
Referee: L. Doughty
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ T. Cantwell
Blackburn
🔄
46'
K. Montgomery ↔ T. Gardner-Hickman
Blackburn
🟨
54'
Ricardo Pereira
Leicester
🔄
59'
L. Page ↔ J. Ayew
Leicester
🔄
59'
J. Monga ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🟨
62'
Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
🔄
71'
R. Alebiosu ↔ M. Litherland
Blackburn
🔄
71'
A. Forshaw ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
🔄
72'
P. Daka ↔ J. James
Leicester
🔄
73'
R. Pereira ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
🔄
77'
M. Baradji ↔ D. De Neve
Blackburn
⚽
78'
S. Mavididi
Leicester
🔄
88'
H. Souttar ↔ K. Gray
Leicester

Blackburn vs Leicester Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 49.6%
Draw 19.2%
Leicester Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.14
Leicester1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
42 GF / 55 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
60 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
22
BTTS Yes
34
18
Over 2.5
26
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 46 matches
Leicester Leicester 47 matches
Blackburn Statistic Leicester
13 Wins 12
14 Draws 16
19 Losses 19
42 Goals For 60
55 Goals Against 70
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
22 BTTS Yes 34
32 Over 1.5 41
18 Over 2.5 26
6 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 6
16 Failed To Score 9
3.13 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.46 Total Shots 12.81
5.28 Corners 5.26
47.8% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leicester. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Blackburn expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Leicester in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leicester having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Blackburn Analysis

Blackburn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 52 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 19 defeats with a 42:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Ohashi (10 goals), A. Gudjohnsen (7 goals), M. Jorgensen (5 goals), with creative support from R. Morishita (9 assists), Ryan Alebiosu (5 assists), T. Cantwell (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leicester Analysis

Leicester sit 23 with 43 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 16 draws, and 18 defeats with a 57:68 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. James (11 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 4 times, Leicester won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Blackburn's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 3-4-2-1 / Leicester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 4, draws 1, Leicester wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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