ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ewood Park
Referee: L. Doughty
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Leicester
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ T. Cantwell
Blackburn
🔄
46'
K. Montgomery ↔ T. Gardner-Hickman
Blackburn
🟨
54'
Ricardo Pereira
Leicester
🔄
59'
L. Page ↔ J. Ayew
Leicester
🔄
59'
J. Monga ↔ S. Thomas
Leicester
🟨
62'
Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
🔄
71'
R. Alebiosu ↔ M. Litherland
Blackburn
🔄
71'
A. Forshaw ↔ M. Jorgensen
Blackburn
🔄
72'
P. Daka ↔ J. James
Leicester
🔄
73'
R. Pereira ↔ O. Aluko
Leicester
🔄
77'
M. Baradji ↔ D. De Neve
Blackburn
78'
S. Mavididi
Leicester
🔄
88'
H. Souttar ↔ K. Gray
Leicester

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 49.6%
Draw 19.2%
Leicester Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.14
Leicester1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
42 GF / 55 GA
Leicester Leicester
WLDWL
60 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
22
BTTS Yes
34
18
Over 2.5
26
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 46 matches
Leicester Leicester 47 matches
Blackburn Statistic Leicester
13 Wins 12
14 Draws 16
19 Losses 19
42 Goals For 60
55 Goals Against 70
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
22 BTTS Yes 34
32 Over 1.5 41
18 Over 2.5 26
6 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 6
16 Failed To Score 9
3.13 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.46 Total Shots 12.81
5.28 Corners 5.26
47.8% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leicester. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Blackburn expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Leicester in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leicester having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Blackburn Analysis

Blackburn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 52 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 19 defeats with a 42:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. Ohashi (10 goals), A. Gudjohnsen (7 goals), M. Jorgensen (5 goals), with creative support from R. Morishita (9 assists), Ryan Alebiosu (5 assists), T. Cantwell (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Leicester Analysis

Leicester sit 23 with 43 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 16 draws, and 18 defeats with a 57:68 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. James (11 goals), I. Fatawu (9 goals), Jordan Ayew (6 goals), with creative support from I. Fatawu (7 assists), Luke Thomas (5 assists), J. James (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 4 times, Leicester won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Blackburn's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 3-4-2-1 / Leicester 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 4, draws 1, Leicester wins 4
Stats
Blackburn Blackburn
Leicester Leicester
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
9 Corner Kicks 11
7 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Goal 9
7 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 18
5 Shots outsidebox 4
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
454 Total passes 445
359 Passes accurate 374
1.40 expected_goals 2.52
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Blackburn
Formation
Leicester
B. Toth
B. Toth
T. Atcheson
T. Atcheson
S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin
E. Cashin
E. Cashin
R. Alebiosu
R. Alebiosu
K. Montgomery
K. Montgomery
A. Forshaw
A. Forshaw
M. Baradji
M. Baradji
Y. Ribeiro
Y. Ribeiro
R. Morishita
R. Morishita
Y. Ohashi
Y. Ohashi
J. Stolarczyk
J. Stolarczyk
R. Pereira
R. Pereira
H. Souttar
H. Souttar
J. Vestergaard
J. Vestergaard
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
H. Choudhury
H. Choudhury
H. Winks
H. Winks
J. Monga
J. Monga
L. Page
L. Page
S. Mavididi
S. Mavididi
P. Daka
P. Daka
Blackburn 3-5-2
Starting XI
22
B. Toth
G
38
T. Atcheson
D
15
S. McLoughlin
🟨 62'
D
20
E. Cashin
D
2
R. Alebiosu
↓ 71'
M
31
K. Montgomery
↓ 46'
M
28
A. Forshaw
↓ 71'
M
24
M. Baradji
↓ 77'
M
4
Y. Ribeiro
↓ 46'
M
25
R. Morishita
F
23
Y. Ohashi
F
Substitutes
1
A. Pears
G
10
T. Cantwell
↑ 46'
M
17
H. Carter
D
40
M. Litherland
↑ 71'
D
14
D. De Neve
↑ 77'
D
16
S. Wharton
D
29
M. Jorgensen
↑ 71'
F
21
O. Afolayan
F
5
T. Gardner-Hickman
↑ 46'
M
Leicester 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Stolarczyk
G
21
R. Pereira
↓ 73' 🟨 54'
D
15
H. Souttar
↓ 88'
D
23
J. Vestergaard
D
33
L. Thomas
D
17
H. Choudhury
M
8
H. Winks
M
28
J. Monga
↓ 59'
M
25
L. Page
↓ 59'
M
10
S. Mavididi
⚽ 78'
M
20
P. Daka
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Begovic
G
9
J. Ayew
↑ 59'
F
14
B. De Cordova-Reid
F
6
J. James
↑ 72'
M
62
K. Gray
↑ 88'
D
22
O. Skipp
M
39
S. Thomas
↑ 59'
F
29
D. Mukasa
M
56
O. Aluko
↑ 73'
D
Last matches: Blackburn
22.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Nottingham Forest
0
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Accrington ST
0
0
D
22.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
14.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Derby
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Norwich
0
2
L
03.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Hull City
0
1
L
Last matches: Leicester
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Northampton
3
0
W
24.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Millwall
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Hull City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Swansea
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Preston
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
28.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
10.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
3
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Birmingham
1
2
L
H2H: Blackburn vs Leicester
02.05.26
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
01.11.25
H2H
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
W
04.05.24
H2H
Leicester
Blackburn
0
2
W
01.10.23
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
4
L
28.02.23
H2H
Leicester
Blackburn
1
2
W
22.03.14
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
1
D
17.09.13
H2H
Leicester
Blackburn
2
1
L
26.02.13
H2H
Leicester
Blackburn
3
0
L
25.08.12
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Blackburn
18.07.26
Fri
Blackburn
Barnsley
3
0
W
17.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
Coventry
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Blackburn
West Brom
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
07.03.26
Cha
Blackburn
Portsmouth
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Bristol City
1
2
L
20.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Preston
1
0
W
03.02.26
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Hull City
0
1
L
24.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Watford
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Charlton
2
2
D
01.01.26
Cha
Blackburn
Wrexham
0
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Millwall
2
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Oxford United
1
1
D
02.12.25
Cha
Blackburn
Ipswich
1
1
D
26.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
QPR
0
1
L
08.11.25
Cha
Blackburn
Derby
1
2
L
25.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Southampton
2
1
W
21.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
04.10.25
Cha
Blackburn
Stoke City
1
1
D
H2H at home: Blackburn
02.05.26
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
4
L
22.03.14
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
1
D
25.08.12
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Leicester
22.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Cadiz
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Burton Albion
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Leicester
Bristol Rovers
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Watford
0
0
D
07.03.26
Cha
Leicester
Ipswich
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Stoke City
2
2
D
14.02.26
FA
Leicester
Southampton
1
2
L
07.02.26
Cha
Leicester
Birmingham
1
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Wrexham
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Coventry
1
2
L
10.01.26
FA
Leicester
Cheltenham
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Leicester
Sheffield Utd
1
3
L
20.12.25
Cha
Leicester
QPR
1
4
L
10.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Bristol City
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Leicester
Derby
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Southampton
0
3
L
08.11.25
Cha
Leicester
Norwich
2
1
W
H2H away: Leicester
02.05.26
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
0
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
4
W
22.03.14
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
1
1
D
25.08.12
H2H
Blackburn
Leicester
2
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation