ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
12.12.2026 15:00
Ewood Park

Blackburn vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.38
Derby1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
12 GF / 11 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 10 matches
Derby Derby 11 matches
Blackburn Statistic Derby
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
12 Goals For 13
11 Goals Against 18
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
3.8 Shots On Goal 3.2
9.6 Total Shots 10
5.6 Corners 4.8
51.2% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 9 times, Derby won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Blackburn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Blackburn 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 9, draws 1, Derby wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 2 0 7:1 6 11
D W W D W
2 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
3 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
L W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
5 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
6 5 3 1 1 6:7 -1 10
L D W W W
7 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
8 5 2 2 1 11:7 4 8
W W D L D
9 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
10 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D W D D
11 5 1 3 1 6:4 2 6
D W L D D
12 5 2 0 3 8:8 0 6
W L W L L
13 5 2 0 3 8:9 -1 6
W W L L L
14 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
15 5 1 3 1 6:7 -1 6
L W D D D
16 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D L W D
17 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L L D D W
18 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
19 5 2 2 1 11:6 5 4
D D W W L
20
Derby Away
5 1 1 3 5:10 -5 4
L W L D L
21 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
L L L D W
22 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L L D D D
23 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
W L L L L
24 5 0 2 3 6:12 -6 2
L D L L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One