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ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
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BKMA
NS
Ararat
Football Academy Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 58.2%
Draw 25%
Ararat Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1.47
Ararat1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Ararat Ararat
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 7 matches
Ararat Ararat 9 matches
BKMA Statistic Ararat
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
11 Goals For 13
9 Goals Against 12
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 5 times, Ararat won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from BKMA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.2%)
H2H summary: BKMA wins 5, draws 7, Ararat wins 3
Last matches: BKMA
01.08.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Sioni
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gagra
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
26.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
Last matches: Ararat
07.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
2
L
03.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Andranik
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
2
2
D
26.05.26
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Sardarapat
5
1
W
H2H: BKMA vs Ararat
26.05.26
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
19.10.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
04.10.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
13.03.25
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
14.02.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
0
W
27.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
2
2
D
03.05.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
3
L
03.03.24
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
0
L
29.10.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
0
W
25.08.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
2
W
30.05.23
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
1
1
D
09.04.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
0
1
L
08.12.22
H2H
Ararat
BKMA
0
0
D
17.09.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
1
W
Last matches: BKMA
01.08.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
29.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
1
D
H2H at home: BKMA
19.10.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
14.02.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
0
W
27.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
03.05.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
3
L
29.10.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
0
W
09.04.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
0
1
L
17.09.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
1
W
Last matches: Ararat
03.08.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
19.05.26
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
3
8
L
01.05.26
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
0
4
L
14.04.26
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat
Van
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Van
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Ararat
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat
BKMA
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Noah
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pre
Ararat
FC Urartu
0
6
L
12.09.25
Pre
Ararat
Shirak
2
4
L
30.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
L
16.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Alashkert
0
3
L
01.08.25
Pre
Ararat
Gandzasar
1
1
D
H2H away: Ararat
19.10.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
L
14.02.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
0
L
27.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
03.05.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
1
3
W
29.10.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
0
L
09.04.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
0
1
W
17.09.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Sardarapat
2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
2
Ararat-Armenia
2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
3
Alashkert
1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
4
FC Noah
1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
5
Pyunik Yerevan
1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
6
Shirak
1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
7
BKMA Home
1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
8
FC Urartu
2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
L D
9
Gandzasar
1 0 0 1 3:4 -1 0
L
10
Van
1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
11
Syunik
1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
12
Ararat Away
2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League