Birmingham vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
68.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
53.1%
|
- |
Birmingham
Preston
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Birmingham
45 matches
Preston
44 matches
| Birmingham | Statistic | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 14 |
| 13 | Draws | 15 |
| 16 | Losses | 15 |
| 56 | Goals For | 50 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.09 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 10.7 |
| 5.78 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 46.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Preston. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Birmingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Preston in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Preston having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Birmingham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Birmingham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 57 points from 43 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 51:52, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Ducksch (10 goals), J. Stansfield (9 goals), D. Gray (5 goals), with creative support from J. Stansfield (6 assists), D. Gray (4 assists), P. Roberts (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Buchanan, K. Furuhashi, B. Osayi-Samuel unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Preston approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 57 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 14 wins, 15 draws, and 14 defeats with a 50:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Devine (8 goals), L. Dobbin (8 goals), M. Osmajic (8 goals), with creative support from L. Dobbin (8 assists), A. Devine (4 assists), D. Jebbison (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with R. Brady, A. McCann, B. Whiteman unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 6 times, Preston won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Birmingham's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Birmingham
Home
|
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Preston
Away
|
46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|