ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
22.04.2026 18:45
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: B. Toner
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Preston
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
J. Stansfield · Assist: I. Osman
Birmingham
⚽
16'
I. Osman
Birmingham
⚽
25'
A. Hughes
Preston
🔄
37'
I. Osman ↔ D. Gray
Birmingham
🟨
45+2'
Andrija Vukcevic
Preston
🔄
65'
E. Laird ↔ B. Osayi-Samuel
Birmingham
🔄
65'
B. Potts ↔ A. Moran
Preston
🟨
72'
Andrew Moran
Preston
🔄
72'
J. Stansfield ↔ J. E. Solis Romero
Birmingham
🔄
73'
P. Valentin ↔ T. Small
Preston
🔄
73'
M. Osmajic ↔ D. Jebbison
Preston
🔄
78'
A. Vukcevic ↔ R. Brady
Preston
🔄
84'
L. Dobbin ↔ M. Smith
Preston

Birmingham vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 54.2%
Draw 16.4%
Preston Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.25
Preston1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
56 GF / 56 GA
Preston Preston
WLDWL
50 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
25
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
19
4.09
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 45 matches
Preston Preston 44 matches
Birmingham Statistic Preston
16 Wins 14
13 Draws 15
16 Losses 15
56 Goals For 50
56 Goals Against 56
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
25 BTTS Yes 24
35 Over 1.5 34
20 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 13
4.09 Shots On Goal 3.41
13.6 Total Shots 10.7
5.78 Corners 4.32
54.1% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Preston. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Birmingham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Preston in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Preston having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Birmingham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Birmingham Analysis

Birmingham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 57 points from 43 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 51:52, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Ducksch (10 goals), J. Stansfield (9 goals), D. Gray (5 goals), with creative support from J. Stansfield (6 assists), D. Gray (4 assists), P. Roberts (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Buchanan, K. Furuhashi, B. Osayi-Samuel unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Preston Analysis

Preston approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 57 points from 43 matches. The overall return of 14 wins, 15 draws, and 14 defeats with a 50:53 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Devine (8 goals), L. Dobbin (8 goals), M. Osmajic (8 goals), with creative support from L. Dobbin (8 assists), A. Devine (4 assists), D. Jebbison (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with R. Brady, A. McCann, B. Whiteman unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 6 times, Preston won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Birmingham's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Preston 4-4-2
Missing players: Birmingham 2, Preston 4
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 6, draws 3, Preston wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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