BFC Daugavpils vs Riga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
58.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
18 matches
Riga
17 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 10 | Losses | 3 |
| 20 | Goals For | 47 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.76 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Riga's more proactive style and BFC Daugavpils's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Riga. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. Riga look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while BFC Daugavpils sit 4 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Placed 4 with 14 points from 10 outings, BFC Daugavpils continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 13:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Garzha (4 goals), J. Yakubu (3 goals), R. Ndjiki (3 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (3 assists), Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand (3 assists), A. Garzha (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 23 points from 10 games, Riga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 33:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Badamosi (7 goals), Iago Siqueira (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), L. Odisharia (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 1 times, Riga won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:28 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 49 | 74 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 56 | 73 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 3 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 61 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 39 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
| 6 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | -11 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | -31 | 26 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | -17 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | -46 | 18 |
W
L
D
L
L
|