Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.7%
|
3.11 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.25 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
13.00 |
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
BFC Daugavpils
29 matches
FK Liepaja
29 matches
| BFC Daugavpils | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 29 | Goals For | 44 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Placed 5 with 24 points from 20 outings, BFC Daugavpils continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 21:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja sit 4 with 25 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 23:31 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 3 times, FK Liepaja won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from BFC Daugavpils's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 53:15 | 38 | 55 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 22:33 | -11 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
BFC Daugavpils
Home
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 36:41 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12:32 | -20 | 17 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19:54 | -35 | 10 |
L
W
L
W
L
|