PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

25.04.2026 17:00

Benfica

4 - 1

Moreirense

Estádio da Luz

Referee: I. Vasilica

Benfica

Match Timeline

Moreirense

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 78.7%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 58.6%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 68%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	78.7%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	58.6%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Benfica Win 78.7%

Draw 4.8%

Moreirense Win 16.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica1.63

Moreirense0.97

Recent Form (Last 5)

Benfica

WWDLW

79 GF / 34 GA

Moreirense

WLDWL

33 GF / 41 GA

Key Stats

1.8

Average Goals Scored

1.1

0.77

Average Goals Conceded

1.37

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.48

Shots on Goal

3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica 44 matches

Moreirense 30 matches

Benfica	Statistic	Moreirense
27	Wins	11
10	Draws	6
7	Losses	13
79	Goals For	33
34	Goals Against	41
1.8	Avg Goals Scored	1.1
0.77	Avg Goals Conceded	1.37
19	BTTS Yes	14
35	Over 1.5	22
24	Over 2.5	15
9	Over 3.5	5
20	Clean Sheets	8
8	Failed To Score	9
5.48	Shots On Goal	3.17
16	Total Shots	8.6
6.59	Corners	3.6
55%	Ball Possession	48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 8 times, Moreirense won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from Benfica's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)

Predicted formations: Benfica 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-4-2

H2H summary: Benfica wins 8, draws 6, Moreirense wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66:18	48	88	W L W W W
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89:24	65	82	W W W D D
3	Benfica Home	34	23	11	0	74:25	49	80	W D D W W
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64:36	28	59	D D D L W
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42:29	13	56	W D D W D
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47:38	9	50	L L D W L
7	Moreirense Away	34	12	7	15	37:49	-12	43	D L W L W
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47:64	-17	42	W W D L W
9	Guimaraes	34	12	6	16	39:51	-12	42	L L L W W
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54:57	-3	39	L D D L L
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35:52	-17	39	L D L W L
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35:57	-22	36	D L D L D
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32:41	-9	36	L W D W D
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37:45	-8	34	W L L W W
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38:56	-18	30	D D L L L
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31:57	-26	30	D W L L L
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27:55	-28	28	L W W D L
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27:67	-40	21	D W W D D

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Liga Portugal (Relegation)

Relegation - Liga Portugal 2