20.08.2026 19:00
Estádio da Luz
Referee: M. Guida
Benfica
Match Timeline
Aarhus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Rafa Silva
Benfica
🟨
9'
Leandro Barreiro
Benfica
🟨
24'
Tomás Araújo
Benfica
31'
L. Barreiro
Benfica
36'
S. Jorgensen · Assist: J. Andersen
Aarhus
VAR
45+1'
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica
45'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
🔄
57'
C. Rosler ↔ R. Carstensen
Aarhus
🔄
57'
S. Jorgensen ↔ S. Tchamche
Aarhus
🔄
66'
L. Barreiro ↔ R. Rios
Benfica
🔄
72'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
72'
G. Prestianni ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🔄
73'
M. Knudsen ↔ J. Jonsson
Aarhus
🔄
73'
F. Emmery ↔ G. Links
Aarhus
🔄
81'
J. Bogere ↔ M. Anderson
Aarhus
🟨
83'
Stefen Tchamche
Aarhus
🔄
84'
G. Sudakov ↔ F. Aursnes
Benfica
🔄
84'
Rafa Silva ↔ J. Kaminski
Benfica

Benfica vs Aarhus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Benfica Win 74.6%
Draw 4.4%
Aarhus Win 21%
Expected Goals (xG)
Benfica2.59
Aarhus1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Benfica Benfica
WWDLW
30 GF / 9 GA
Aarhus Aarhus
WLDWL
31 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
3.33
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
12
5
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Benfica Benfica 9 matches
Aarhus Aarhus 15 matches
Benfica Statistic Aarhus
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
30 Goals For 31
9 Goals Against 22
3.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
6 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 4.43
8 Total Shots 13.14
3.17 Corners 5.57
32.2% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Benfica won 2 times, Aarhus won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Benfica's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Benfica 4-1-3-2 / Aarhus 3-5-2
H2H summary: Benfica wins 2, draws 0, Aarhus wins 0

Standings

League Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W W W W
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W D W W
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L W W W W
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W D W D
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W D W
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
D W W W
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
25 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W
26 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
27 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W L W D
28 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
29 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
30 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W D W
31 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
32 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
33 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
34 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
35 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
36 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W L
Play Offs