23.07.2026 22:30
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Referee: Sebastian Zunino
Belgrano Cordoba
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Facundo Mallo
Rosario Central
36'
N. Fernandez · Assist: F. Vazquez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
61'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Passerini
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
68'
J. Velazquez ↔ S. Longo
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
72'
V. Pizarro ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
77'
J. Fernandez · Assist: G. Avila
Rosario Central
VAR
79'
Julián Fernández
Rosario Central
🔄
80'
E. Rigoni ↔ F. Gonzalez
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
81'
L. Zelarayan ↔ R. Hernandes
Belgrano Cordoba
🔄
87'
A. Di Maria ↔ E. Veron
Rosario Central
88'
F. Gonzalez · Assist: R. Hernandes
Belgrano Cordoba
🟨
90+2'
Elías Verón
Rosario Central

Belgrano Cordoba vs Rosario Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Belgrano Cordoba Win 60%
Draw 9.7%
Rosario Central Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgrano Cordoba1.13
Rosario Central1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
WWDLW
29 GF / 18 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
36 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
9
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
13
3.55
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 22 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 27 matches
Belgrano Cordoba Statistic Rosario Central
11 Wins 15
7 Draws 5
4 Losses 7
29 Goals For 36
18 Goals Against 23
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 8
3.55 Shots On Goal 5.16
11.5 Total Shots 13.68
3.55 Corners 4.48
49.7% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rosario Central. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Belgrano Cordoba come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Belgrano Cordoba Analysis

Belgrano Cordoba approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 26 points after 16 outings. With 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:13, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Zelarayan (4 goals), N. Fernandez (4 goals), F. Gonzalez (3 goals), with creative support from L. Passerini (6 assists), N. Fernandez (4 assists), E. Rigoni (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 28 points after 16 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 20:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Di Maria (5 goals), E. Copetti (5 goals), A. Veliz (4 goals), with creative support from A. Di Maria (4 assists), J. Campaz (4 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano Cordoba won 2 times, Rosario Central won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Belgrano Cordoba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Belgrano Cordoba wins 2, draws 2, Rosario Central wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase