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28.09.2026 18:45
Roi Baudouin
Referee: Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia
Belgium
Match Timeline
France
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Diego Moreira
Belgium
🟨
57'
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium
🔄
63'
K. De Bruyne ↔ H. Vanaken
Belgium
🔄
63'
D. Moreira ↔ D. Lukebakio
Belgium
🟨
66'
Youri Tielemans
Belgium
🔄
68'
J. Seys ↔ M. De Cuyper
Belgium
🔄
68'
E. Lepaul ↔ O. Dembele
France
🔄
77'
B. Barcola ↔ M. Olise
France
🔄
77'
M. Akliouche ↔ R. Cherki
France
🔄
85'
R. Lavia ↔ N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
85'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ M. Fernandez-Pardo
Belgium
⚽
88'
M. Olise · Assist: R. Cherki
France
🔄
90'
L. Da Cunha ↔ M. Kone
France

Belgium vs France Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Belgium Win 42.8%
Draw 6.5%
France Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Belgium2.04
France1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Belgium Belgium
WWDLW
29 GF / 10 GA
France France
WLDWL
30 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.64
Average Goals Scored
2.31
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
9
6.36
Shots on Goal
6.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Belgium Belgium 11 matches
France France 13 matches
Belgium Statistic France
7 Wins 10
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
29 Goals For 30
10 Goals Against 15
2.64 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
6.36 Shots On Goal 6.31
17.45 Total Shots 16.46
5.18 Corners 5.69
50.7% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Belgium won 0 times, France won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Belgium's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Belgium 4-2-3-1 / France -
H2H summary: Belgium wins 0, draws 0, France wins 5

Standings

League A - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:2 5 10
W D W W
2 4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
W D W L
3 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
L W L W
4 4 0 0 4 2:11 -9 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off