CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
22.08.2026 12:00
Beijing Workers' Stadium
Referee: S. Danao
Beijing Guoan
Match Timeline
Yunnan Yukun
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Zhang Yuning
Beijing Guoan
36'
Dawhan · Assist: F. Abreu
Beijing Guoan
🔄
46'
Ye Chugui ↔ Caio Vinicius
Yunnan Yukun
50'
Zhang Yuning · Assist: F. Abreu
Beijing Guoan
58'
Abdusalam Bunyamin · Assist: Zhang Chenliang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
62'
Wang Gang ↔ Yue Tze-Nam
Beijing Guoan
🔄
62'
Deng Jiefu ↔ Zhang Xizhe
Beijing Guoan
65'
O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
69'
Serginho · Assist: Dawhan
Beijing Guoan
🔄
80'
Xu Xin ↔ Duan Liuyu
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
80'
Zhang Chenliang ↔ Huang Zichang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
80'
J. Saeter ↔ Cleber
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
84'
Zhang Yuning ↔ Li Lei
Beijing Guoan
🔄
85'
Abdusalam Bunyamin ↔ Han Zilong
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
86'
Caio Vinícius
Yunnan Yukun
90'
A. Ionita II · Assist: Caio Vinicius
Yunnan Yukun

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Beijing Guoan Win 70.4%
Draw 10.6%
Yunnan Yukun Win 19%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beijing Guoan1.96
Yunnan Yukun1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
WWDLW
45 GF / 29 GA
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WLDWL
51 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
15
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
20
5.57
Shots on Goal
5.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 23 matches
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 25 matches
Beijing Guoan Statistic Yunnan Yukun
11 Wins 10
7 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
45 Goals For 51
29 Goals Against 49
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
15 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 3
5.57 Shots On Goal 5.26
15.74 Total Shots 15.83
6.17 Corners 5.22
60.6% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Yunnan Yukun. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Beijing Guoan Analysis

Beijing Guoan are currently 7 in the standings with 29 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 38:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zhang Yuning (3 goals), Dawhan (2 goals), Fabio Abreu (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yuning (1 assists), Fabio Abreu (1 assists), Aboubacar Konte (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Placed 5 with 31 points from 22 outings, Yunnan Yukun continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Oscar Taty Maritu (4 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), Bunyamin Abdusalam (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Alexandru Ioniță (2 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, Yunnan Yukun won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Beijing Guoan 4-4-2 / Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
H2H summary: Beijing Guoan wins 3, draws 2, Yunnan Yukun wins 0

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation