Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.4%
|
1.49 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.40 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.29 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.11 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Beijing Guoan
23 matches
Yunnan Yukun
25 matches
| Beijing Guoan | Statistic | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 10 |
| 45 | Goals For | 51 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.04 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.57 | Shots On Goal | 5.26 |
| 15.74 | Total Shots | 15.83 |
| 6.17 | Corners | 5.22 |
| 60.6% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beijing Guoan expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Yunnan Yukun in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Yunnan Yukun having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Yunnan Yukun. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Beijing Guoan are currently 7 in the standings with 29 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 38:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Zhang Yuning (3 goals), Dawhan (2 goals), Fabio Abreu (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yuning (1 assists), Fabio Abreu (1 assists), Aboubacar Konte (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 31 points from 22 outings, Yunnan Yukun continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Oscar Taty Maritu (4 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), Bunyamin Abdusalam (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Alexandru Ioniță (2 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Beijing Guoan won 3 times, Yunnan Yukun won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Beijing Guoan's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.8 goals per game.
Beijing Guoan
8
5
3
6
6
3
Lineups
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
Hangzhou Greentown
Beijing Guoan
Shenyang Urban
Beijing Guoan
Shandong Luneng
Beijing Guoan
Wuhan Three Towns
Beijing Guoan
Henan Jianye
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Jonoon
Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
Dalian Zhixing
Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
Beijing Guoan
Chengdu Better City
Beijing Guoan
Shanghai Shenhua
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49:29 | 20 | 48 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Beijing Guoan
Home
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49:33 | 16 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36:41 | -5 | 37 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28:29 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Yunnan Yukun
Away
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 28 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:40 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 33:39 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 24 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 18 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30:38 | -8 | 16 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
L
L
L
|