GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
19.04.2026 15:30
Allianz Arena
Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
Bayern München
Match Timeline
VfB Stuttgart
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
C. Fuhrich · Assist: B. El Khannouss
VfB Stuttgart
31'
R. Guerreiro · Assist: J. Musiala
Bayern München
33'
N. Jackson · Assist: L. Diaz
Bayern München
37'
A. Davies · Assist: L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
46'
L. Diaz ↔ M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
46'
J. Musiala ↔ H. Kane
Bayern München
🔄
46'
F. Jeltsch ↔ L. Jaquez
VfB Stuttgart
52'
H. Kane
Bayern München
🔄
62'
A. Davies ↔ K. Laimer
Bayern München
🔄
65'
C. Fuhrich ↔ M. Mittelstadt
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
65'
A. Stiller ↔ C. Andres
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
76'
R. Guerreiro ↔ B. Ndiaye
Bayern München
🔄
76'
J. Leweling ↔ E. Demirovic
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
85'
J. Stanisic ↔ D. Ofli
Bayern München
🔄
85'
T. Tomas ↔ B. Bouanani
VfB Stuttgart
88'
C. Andres · Assist: A. Karazor
VfB Stuttgart

Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 73.2%
Draw 0%
VfB Stuttgart Win 26.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.59
VfB Stuttgart1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
145 GF / 42 GA
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WLDWL
81 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
3.45
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
29
BTTS Yes
22
40
Over 2.5
28
8.4
Shots on Goal
6.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 42 matches
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 42 matches
Bayern München Statistic VfB Stuttgart
36 Wins 23
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 14
145 Goals For 81
42 Goals Against 55
3.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
29 BTTS Yes 22
42 Over 1.5 35
40 Over 2.5 28
30 Over 3.5 18
13 Clean Sheets 13
0 Failed To Score 8
8.4 Shots On Goal 6.14
19.1 Total Shots 16.14
6.02 Corners 5.64
64.9% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Bayern München appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward VfB Stuttgart. Bayern München come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VfB Stuttgart. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bayern München arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 76 points compared to VfB Stuttgart in 3 on 56, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Bayern München Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 76 points from 29 games, Bayern München bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 24 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 105:27 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on H. Kane (31 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (12 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (18 assists), L. Diaz (11 assists), S. Gnabry (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with C. Kiala, W. Mike, S. Ulreich unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

VfB Stuttgart Analysis

VfB Stuttgart come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 56 points after 29 matches. With 17 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 60:38, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Deniz Undav (18 goals), Ermedin Demirović (9 goals), Jamie Leweling (7 goals), with creative support from Jamie Leweling (8 assists), C. Fuhrich (6 assists), Deniz Undav (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Jovanovic, D. Undav unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 12 times, VfB Stuttgart won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 47:14 from Bayern München's perspective. 15 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bayern München 6, VfB Stuttgart 2
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 12, draws 2, VfB Stuttgart wins 1

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation