WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
--.--.---- --:--
Allianz Arena
Bayern München
Match Timeline
RB Leipzig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
K. Laimer ↔ S. Boey
Bayern München
13'
L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
46'
D. Raum ↔ M. Finkgrafe
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
A. Maksimovic ↔ J. Bakayoko
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
A. Nusa ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
R. Baku ↔ B. Henrichs
RB Leipzig
52'
B. Gruda · Assist: M. Finkgrafe
RB Leipzig
57'
N. Brown · Assist: A. Pavlovic
Bayern München
🔄
59'
N. Seiwald ↔ A. Vermeeren
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
T. Gomis ↔ A. Thomas
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
B. Gruda ↔ R. Reitz
RB Leipzig
🔄
69'
N. Brown ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
🔄
69'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ H. Ito
Bayern München
🔄
69'
L. Diaz ↔ W. Mike
Bayern München
🔄
69'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ J. Musiala
Bayern München
🔄
69'
T. Bischof ↔ I. Saibari
Bayern München
🔄
69'
T. Binder ↔ M. Cardozo
Bayern München
🔄
70'
W. Orban ↔ E. Bitshiabu
RB Leipzig
🔄
70'
C. Lukeba ↔ L. Geertruida
RB Leipzig
81'
J. Musiala · Assist: I. Saibari
Bayern München
🔄
83'
E. Banzuzi ↔ S. Konate
RB Leipzig
🔄
86'
J. Musiala ↔ B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Bayern München

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.28
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.5%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 64.7%
Draw 4.9%
RB Leipzig Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München1.98
RB Leipzig1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
10 GF / 4 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 4 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5 matches
Bayern München Statistic RB Leipzig
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
10 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 6
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 9 times, RB Leipzig won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 43:24 from Bayern München's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 9, draws 4, RB Leipzig wins 2
Last matches: Bayern München
07.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
Aston Villa
2
1
W
04.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
Jeju United FC
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Bayern München
SV Wehen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
28.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
4
5
L
25.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4
3
W
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
11.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
5
0
W
07.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
14.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
6
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
3
2
W
Last matches: RB Leipzig
08.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Leeds
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Verl
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Altglienicke
2
1
W
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
4
L
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
H2H: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig
11.02.26
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
17.01.26
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
5
W
22.08.25
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
6
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
3
3
D
20.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
5
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
2
1
L
30.09.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
2
2
D
12.08.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
0
3
W
20.05.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
1
3
W
20.01.23
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
1
1
D
30.07.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
3
5
W
05.02.22
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
3
2
L
11.09.21
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
1
4
W
03.04.21
H2H
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
0
1
W
05.12.20
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
3
3
D
Last matches: Bayern München
07.08.26
Fri
Bayern München
Aston Villa
2
1
W
16.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
5
1
W
06.05.26
UEF
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
19.04.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
4
2
W
15.04.26
UEF
Bayern München
Real Madrid
4
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Union Berlin
4
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Bayern München
Atalanta
4
1
W
06.03.26
Bun
Bayern München
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
08.02.26
Bun
Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Bayern München
Union St. Gilloise
2
0
W
11.01.26
Bun
Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
8
1
W
14.12.25
Bun
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
09.12.25
UEF
Bayern München
Sporting CP
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
3
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
6
2
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
3
0
W
22.10.25
UEF
Bayern München
Club Brugge KV
4
0
W
H2H at home: Bayern München
11.02.26
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
2
0
W
22.08.25
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
6
0
W
20.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
5
1
W
Last matches: RB Leipzig
08.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Leeds
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Altglienicke
2
1
W
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
4
L
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
27.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
24.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
3
0
W
12.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
1
3
L
28.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
0
D
08.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
25.10.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
6
0
W
04.10.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
1
1
D
27.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
13.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
22.08.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
0
6
L
H2H away: RB Leipzig
11.02.26
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
2
0
L
22.08.25
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
6
0
L
20.12.24
H2H
Bayern München
RB Leipzig
5
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
2
1
L
12.08.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
0
3
W
20.05.23
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
1
3
W
05.02.22
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
3
2
L
05.12.20
H2H
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
3
3
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.87
Draw 5.40
Home 1.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.0 1.34
Over 3.25 1.51
Over 3.5 1.68
Over 3.75 1.85
Over 4.0 2.09
Over 4.25 2.32
Over 4.5 2.57
Over 4.75 2.67
Under 3.0 3.04
Under 3.25 2.44
Under 3.5 2.12
Under 3.75 1.93
Under 4.0 1.70
Under 4.25 1.55
Under 4.5 1.46
Under 4.75 1.39
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 4.75
Home 1.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 7.50
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 5.5 1.22
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.37
Draw 5.95
Home 1.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.70
Draw 2.88
Home 1.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.54
Home 1.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.05
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.25 1.16
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 2.75 1.26
Over 3.0 1.32
Over 3.25 1.58
Over 3.5 1.74
Over 3.75 1.78
Over 4.0 1.98
Over 4.25 2.34
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 4.75 2.80
Over 5.0 3.44
Over 5.25 3.58
Over 5.5 3.94
Over 5.75 4.75
Over 6.0 6.25
Over 6.25 6.54
Over 6.5 6.80
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.5 7.30
Under 1.75 6.30
Under 2.0 6.90
Under 2.25 4.12
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 2.75 3.20
Under 3.0 2.88
Under 3.25 2.53
Under 3.5 2.22
Under 3.75 1.89
Under 4.0 1.71
Under 4.25 1.67
Under 4.5 1.51
Under 4.75 1.36
Under 5.0 1.25
Under 5.25 1.21
Under 5.5 1.18
Under 5.75 1.12
Under 6.0 1.06
Under 6.25 1.05
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 6.00
Home 1.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 3.05
Home 1.74
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 3.45
Home 1.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.24
Over 3.0 1.34
Over 3.25 1.50
Over 3.5 1.66
Over 3.75 1.80
Over 4.0 2.02
Over 4.25 2.23
Over 4.5 2.43
Over 4.75 2.80
Over 5.0 3.45
Over 5.25 3.70
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 5.75 4.75
Over 6.0 6.10
Over 6.25 6.25
Over 6.5 6.50
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.0 2.88
Under 3.25 2.35
Under 3.5 2.04
Under 3.75 1.86
Under 4.0 1.68
Under 4.25 1.56
Under 4.5 1.47
Under 4.75 1.36
Under 5.0 1.25
Under 5.25 1.22
Under 5.5 1.19
Under 5.75 1.14
Under 6.0 1.08
Under 6.25 1.07
Under 6.5 1.07