WORLD FRIENDLIES CLUBS
15.08.2026 13:30
Allianz Arena
Referee: R. Hartmann
Bayern München
Match Timeline
RB Leipzig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
K. Laimer ↔ S. Boey
Bayern München
13'
L. Diaz
Bayern München
🔄
46'
D. Raum ↔ M. Finkgrafe
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
R. Baku ↔ B. Henrichs
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
A. Maksimovic ↔ J. Bakayoko
RB Leipzig
🔄
46'
A. Nusa ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
52'
B. Gruda · Assist: M. Finkgrafe
RB Leipzig
57'
N. Brown · Assist: A. Pavlovic
Bayern München
🔄
59'
N. Seiwald ↔ A. Vermeeren
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
B. Gruda ↔ R. Reitz
RB Leipzig
🔄
59'
T. Gomis ↔ A. Thomas
RB Leipzig
🔄
69'
N. Brown ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
🔄
69'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ H. Ito
Bayern München
🔄
69'
T. Bischof ↔ I. Saibari
Bayern München
🔄
69'
L. Diaz ↔ W. Mike
Bayern München
🔄
69'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ J. Musiala
Bayern München
🔄
69'
T. Binder ↔ M. Cardozo
Bayern München
🔄
70'
W. Orban ↔ E. Bitshiabu
RB Leipzig
🔄
70'
C. Lukeba ↔ L. Geertruida
RB Leipzig
81'
J. Musiala · Assist: I. Saibari
Bayern München
🔄
83'
E. Banzuzi ↔ S. Konate
RB Leipzig
🔄
86'
↔ B. Sapoko Ndiaye
Bayern München

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 64.7%
Draw 4.9%
RB Leipzig Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München1.98
RB Leipzig1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
10 GF / 4 GA
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 4 matches
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 5 matches
Bayern München Statistic RB Leipzig
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
10 Goals For 8
4 Goals Against 6
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 10 times, RB Leipzig won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 43:22 from Bayern München's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / RB Leipzig 4-3-3
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 10, draws 3, RB Leipzig wins 2