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21.10.2026 19:00
Allianz Arena

Bayern München vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.05
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.05 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.60 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bayern München Win 56.4%
Draw 6.3%
Arsenal Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayern München2.29
Arsenal1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayern München Bayern München
WWDLW
49 GF / 16 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
21 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
3.27
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
11
BTTS Yes
5
14
Over 2.5
7
9.78
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bayern München Bayern München 15 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 12 matches
Bayern München Statistic Arsenal
11 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
49 Goals For 21
16 Goals Against 10
3.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
11 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 1
9.78 Shots On Goal 5.22
23.67 Total Shots 14.33
9.44 Corners 5.22
67.7% Ball Possession 60.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bayern München won 6 times, Arsenal won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:17 from Bayern München's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Bayern München 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bayern München 4, Arsenal 3
H2H summary: Bayern München wins 6, draws 3, Arsenal wins 4

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)