Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Bayer Leverkusen Win 61.2%
Draw 7.9%
SC Freiburg Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bayer Leverkusen2.08
SC Freiburg2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bayer Leverkusen
WWDLW
38 GF / 13 GA
SC Freiburg
WLDWL
33 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.92
Average Goals Scored
3
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
7
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
9
6.67
Shots on Goal
7.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bayer Leverkusen
13 matches
SC Freiburg
11 matches
| Bayer Leverkusen | Statistic | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 38 | Goals For | 33 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 2.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.67 | Shots On Goal | 7.29 |
| 20.5 | Total Shots | 20.14 |
| 7.67 | Corners | 6.14 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 56.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 7 times, SC Freiburg won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:21 from Bayer Leverkusen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1 / SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bayer Leverkusen wins 7, draws 5, SC Freiburg wins 3
Standings
Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SC Freiburg
Away
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 11 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 8 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 7 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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