Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
85.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71.1%
|
- |
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bastia
33 matches
Saint Etienne
33 matches
| Bastia | Statistic | Saint Etienne |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 19 |
| 13 | Draws | 6 |
| 15 | Losses | 8 |
| 26 | Goals For | 68 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.68 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 11.48 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 4.19 | Corners | 4.56 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Saint Etienne's more proactive style and Bastia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Saint Etienne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Saint Etienne carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 57 points while Bastia sit 18 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bastia expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Saint Etienne in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Saint Etienne having the stronger overall control.
Bastia sit 18 with 21 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 19:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felix Tomi (4 goals), J. Sebas (4 goals), A. Boutrah (2 goals), with creative support from A. Boutrah (2 assists), Alexandre Bi Zaouai (2 assists), Felix Tomi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 57 points from 30 games, Saint Etienne bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 53:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Z. Davitashvili (13 goals), Lucas Stassin (10 goals), I. Cardona (6 goals), with creative support from A. Boakye (8 assists), I. Cardona (6 assists), Lucas Stassin (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bastia won 3 times, Saint Etienne won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Bastia's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Bastia
4
2
2
5
4
3
Lineups
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Le Mans
Bastia
Guingamp
Bastia
Clermont Foot
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
Bastia
Amiens
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Boulogne
Bastia
PAU
Bastia
Annecy
Bastia
Dunkerque
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Reims
Bastia
Nancy
Bastia
Montpellier
Bastia
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Grenoble
Bastia
Pontivy GSI
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
Nice
Saint Etienne
Nice
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Saint Etienne
Amiens
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
Saint Etienne
Nancy
Saint Etienne
Annecy
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
Saint Etienne
PAU
Saint Etienne
Laval
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
Saint Etienne
Reims
Saint Etienne
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Nice
Bastia
Le Mans
Bastia
Amiens
Bastia
Boulogne
Bastia
Annecy
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Nancy
Bastia
Montpellier
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Bastia
Grenoble
Bastia
Laval
Bastia
Reims
Bastia
Clermont Foot
Bastia
Dunkerque
Bastia
Rodez
Bastia
Guingamp
Bastia
PAU
Saint Etienne
Nice
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Saint Etienne
Nancy
Saint Etienne
Grenoble
Saint Etienne
PAU
Saint Etienne
Guingamp
Saint Etienne
Reims
Saint Etienne
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Nice
Saint Etienne
Dunkerque
Saint Etienne
Quetigny
Saint Etienne
Estac Troyes
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
Saint Etienne
Annecy
Saint Etienne
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
Amiens
Saint Etienne
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
Boulogne
Saint Etienne
Laval
Saint Etienne
Reims
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 67 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 50:31 | 19 | 62 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Saint Etienne
Away
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:38 | 21 | 60 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 58 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 45:39 | 6 | 58 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:39 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 48:62 | -14 | 45 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 53:45 | 8 | 43 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:49 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:44 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 37 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:49 | -15 | 36 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Bastia
Home
|
34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 37:65 | -28 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|