Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Başakşehir
38 matches
Samsunspor
45 matches
| Başakşehir | Statistic | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 14 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 64 | Goals For | 61 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 12.74 | Total Shots | 12.69 |
| 4.71 | Corners | 5.38 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samsunspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Samsunspor look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Başakşehir are currently 6 in the standings with 51 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 53:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Shomurodov (20 goals), D. Selke (9 goals), B. Yildirim (7 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Sarı (6 assists), Miguel Crespo (5 assists), E. Shomurodov (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Samsunspor sit 7 with 48 points after 32 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 43:42 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marius (9 goals), C. Holse (8 goals), C. Ndiaye (7 goals), with creative support from E. Kilinc (5 assists), Anthony Musaba (4 assists), L. Tomasson (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Başakşehir won 7 times, Samsunspor won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:7 from Başakşehir's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Başakşehir
6
1
11
5
2
3
Lineups
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
NK Osijek
Başakşehir
KVC Westerlo
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
Samsunspor
Rizespor
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
NK Osijek
Başakşehir
KVC Westerlo
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
Başakşehir
Universitatea Craiova
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
Başakşehir
Viking
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor
Samsunspor
Rizespor
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
Shkendija
Samsunspor
Antalyaspor
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Samsunspor
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Galatasaray
Samsunspor
Breidablik
Samsunspor
Beşiktaş
Samsunspor
Konyaspor
Samsunspor
Kayserispor
Samsunspor
Legia Warszawa
Samsunspor
Gaziantep FK
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 77 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 40 | 74 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 22 | 69 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 60 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Başakşehir
Home
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 23 | 57 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 10 | 55 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Samsunspor
Away
|
34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 1 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | -16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | -11 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | -35 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
L
|