15.09.2026 18:45
Jenner Park
Referee: B. Williams

Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.23
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.23
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.57
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Barry Town Win 88%
Draw 5.5%
Ammanford AFC Win 6.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barry Town2.55
Ammanford AFC0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barry Town Barry Town
WWDLW
35 GF / 15 GA
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC
WLDWL
4 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
2.63
10
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barry Town Barry Town 14 matches
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 8 matches
Barry Town Statistic Ammanford AFC
12 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
35 Goals For 4
15 Goals Against 21
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 2.63
10 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 4
8 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Barry Town's more proactive style and Ammanford AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ammanford AFC having the stronger overall control. Barry Town come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barry Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 18 points compared to Ammanford AFC in 13 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ammanford AFC.

Barry Town Analysis

Barry Town come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 18 points after 7 matches. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 17:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ammanford AFC Analysis

With 2 points from 7 games and a place of 13, Ammanford AFC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 4:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Barry Town won 0 times, Ammanford AFC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Barry Town's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Barry Town wins 0, draws 1, Ammanford AFC wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)