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ITALY › SERIE B
04.10.2025 13:00
Stadio San Nicola
Referee: Gianluca Manganiello, Italy
Bari
Match Timeline
Padova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
16'
D. Nikolaou ↔ S. Kassama
Bari
🟨
28'
Emanuele Rao
Bari
🔄
46'
C. Gytkjaer ↔ G. Moncini
Bari
🔄
46'
R. Burgio ↔ M. Dorval
Bari
⚽
50'
M. Bortolussi · Assist: A. Capelli
Padova
🟨
56'
Gaetano Castrovilli
Bari
🔄
64'
M. Antonucci ↔ L. Cerri
Bari
🟥
69'
Alessandro Capelli
Padova
⚽
71'
G. Moncini
Bari
🔄
73'
M. Bortolussi ↔ P. Ghiglione
Padova
🔄
73'
L. Crisetig ↔ J. Harder
Padova
🔄
77'
E. Rao ↔ G. Pereiro
Bari
🔄
81'
P. Fusi ↔ L. Di Maggio
Padova
🔄
81'
A. Barreca ↔ G. Favale
Padova
⚽
84'
L. Cerri · Assist: M. Dorval
Bari
🔄
86'
C. Faedo ↔ C. Buonaiuto
Padova

Bari vs Padova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bari Win 0%
Draw 0%
Padova Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bari0.94
Padova1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bari Bari
WWDLW
5 GF / 13 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
2.43
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bari Bari 7 matches
Padova Padova 7 matches
Bari Statistic Padova
0 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
5 Goals For 6
13 Goals Against 9
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
4 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
2.43 Shots On Goal 3.14
10.43 Total Shots 9
2.29 Corners 3.43
48.9% Ball Possession 41.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Bari won 2 times, Padova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:2 from Bari's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bari 4-1-4-1 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bari wins 2, draws 1, Padova wins 0

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17
Bari Home
38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation