SPAIN LA LIGA
22.04.2026 19:30
Camp Nou
Referee: J. Munuera
Barcelona
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
J. Cancelo ↔ A. Balde
Barcelona
40'
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
🔄
45+9'
Lamine Yamal ↔ R. Bardghji
Barcelona
🔄
46'
Gavi ↔ Fermín
Barcelona
VAR
56'
Ferran Torres
Barcelona
🟨
59'
Yoel Lago
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
H. Alvarez ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
Y. Lago ↔ O. Mingueza
Celta Vigo
🔄
72'
P. Duran ↔ B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
73'
D. Olmo ↔ F. de Jong
Barcelona
🔄
73'
F. Torres ↔ M. Rashford
Barcelona
🔄
81'
F. Lopez ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
81'
F. Jutgla ↔ H. Sotelo
Celta Vigo
🟨
90+2'
Eric García
Barcelona

Barcelona vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 63.7%
Draw 10%
Celta Vigo Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.07
Celta Vigo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona Barcelona
WWDLW
125 GF / 55 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
70 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
30
BTTS Yes
31
38
Over 2.5
25
7.23
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona Barcelona 48 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 48 matches
Barcelona Statistic Celta Vigo
37 Wins 19
3 Draws 15
8 Losses 14
125 Goals For 70
55 Goals Against 61
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
30 BTTS Yes 31
46 Over 1.5 41
38 Over 2.5 25
20 Over 3.5 11
15 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 7
7.23 Shots On Goal 4.15
18.79 Total Shots 10.85
6.9 Corners 3.94
68% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celta Vigo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Barcelona arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 79 points compared to Celta Vigo in 6 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Barcelona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Barcelona Analysis

Barcelona come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 31 matches. With 26 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 84:30, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Lamine Yamal (15 goals), F. Torres (14 goals), R. Lewandowski (12 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (8 assists), D. Olmo (7 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 16 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Christensen, Raphinha, M. Bernal unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Celta Vigo Analysis

Celta Vigo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 31 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 44:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Iglesias (11 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (4 goals), with creative support from J. Rueda (4 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), Iago Aspas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Roman, C. Starfelt unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 9 times, Celta Vigo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:23 from Barcelona's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-2-3-1 / Celta Vigo 3-4-3
Missing players: Barcelona 3, Celta Vigo 2
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 9, draws 3, Celta Vigo wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2