SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Camp Nou
Referee: J. Munuera
Barcelona
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
23'
J. Cancelo ↔ A. Balde
Barcelona
40'
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
🔄
45+9'
Lamine Yamal ↔ R. Bardghji
Barcelona
🔄
46'
Gavi ↔ Fermín
Barcelona
VAR
56'
Ferran Torres
Barcelona
🟨
59'
Yoel Lago
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
H. Alvarez ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
Y. Lago ↔ O. Mingueza
Celta Vigo
🔄
72'
P. Duran ↔ B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
🔄
73'
D. Olmo ↔ F. de Jong
Barcelona
🔄
73'
F. Torres ↔ M. Rashford
Barcelona
🔄
81'
F. Lopez ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
81'
F. Jutgla ↔ H. Sotelo
Celta Vigo
🟨
90+2'
Eric García
Barcelona

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 91.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
91.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona Win 63.7%
Draw 10%
Celta Vigo Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona2.07
Celta Vigo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona Barcelona
WWDLW
125 GF / 55 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
70 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
2.6
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
30
BTTS Yes
31
38
Over 2.5
25
7.23
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona Barcelona 48 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 48 matches
Barcelona Statistic Celta Vigo
37 Wins 19
3 Draws 15
8 Losses 14
125 Goals For 70
55 Goals Against 61
2.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
30 BTTS Yes 31
46 Over 1.5 41
38 Over 2.5 25
20 Over 3.5 11
15 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 7
7.23 Shots On Goal 4.15
18.79 Total Shots 10.85
6.9 Corners 3.94
68% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Celta Vigo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Barcelona arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 79 points compared to Celta Vigo in 6 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Barcelona come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Barcelona Analysis

Barcelona come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 79 points after 31 matches. With 26 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 84:30, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Lamine Yamal (15 goals), F. Torres (14 goals), R. Lewandowski (12 goals), with creative support from Lamine Yamal (11 assists), F. Lopez (8 assists), D. Olmo (7 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 16 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Christensen, Raphinha, M. Bernal unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Celta Vigo Analysis

Celta Vigo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 44 points from 31 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 44:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Iglesias (11 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (4 goals), with creative support from J. Rueda (4 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), Iago Aspas (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Roman, C. Starfelt unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona won 9 times, Celta Vigo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:23 from Barcelona's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona 4-2-3-1 / Celta Vigo 3-4-3
Missing players: Barcelona 3, Celta Vigo 2
H2H summary: Barcelona wins 9, draws 3, Celta Vigo wins 3
Stats
Barcelona Barcelona
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
710 Total passes 455
664 Passes accurate 398
1.23 expected_goals 1.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Barcelona
Formation
Celta Vigo
J. Garcia
J. Garcia
J. Kounde
J. Kounde
P. Cubarsi
P. Cubarsi
G. Martin
G. Martin
J. Cancelo
J. Cancelo
E. Garcia
E. Garcia
Pedri
Pedri
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal
D. Olmo
D. Olmo
Gavi
Gavi
F. Torres
F. Torres
I. Radu
I. Radu
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
Y. Lago
Y. Lago
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
J. Rueda
J. Rueda
F. Lopez
F. Lopez
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
S. Carreira
S. Carreira
F. Jutgla
F. Jutgla
P. Duran
P. Duran
H. Alvarez
H. Alvarez
Barcelona 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
J. Garcia
G
23
J. Kounde
D
5
P. Cubarsi
D
18
G. Martin
D
2
J. Cancelo
↓ 23'
D
24
E. Garcia
🟨 90+2'
M
8
Pedri
M
10
Lamine Yamal
⚽ 40' ↓ 45+9'
M
20
D. Olmo
↓ 73'
M
6
Gavi
↓ 46'
M
7
F. Torres
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Szczesny
G
31
D. Kochen
G
9
R. Lewandowski
F
21
F. de Jong
↑ 73'
M
4
R. Araujo
D
19
R. Bardghji
↑ 45+9'
F
14
M. Rashford
↑ 73'
F
3
A. Balde
↑ 23'
D
17
M. Casado
M
16
Fermín
↑ 46'
M
43
T. Marques
M
42
X. Espart
D
Celta Vigo 3-4-3
Starting XI
13
I. Radu
G
32
J. Rodriguez
D
29
Y. Lago
↓ 63' 🟨 59'
D
20
M. Alonso
D
17
J. Rueda
M
8
F. Lopez
↓ 81'
M
6
I. Moriba
M
5
S. Carreira
M
9
F. Jutgla
↓ 81'
F
18
P. Duran
↓ 72'
F
23
H. Alvarez
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Villar
G
15
M. Vecino
M
19
W. Swedberg
↑ 63'
M
39
J. El Abdellaoui
F
12
M. Fernandez
D
36
A. Antanon
M
10
I. Aspas
↑ 81'
F
7
B. Iglesias
↑ 72'
F
4
J. Aidoo
D
3
O. Mingueza
↑ 63'
D
14
A. Nunez
D
22
H. Sotelo
↑ 81'
M
Last matches: Barcelona
08.08.26
Fri
Barcelona
Udinese
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Barcelona
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Barcelona
Birmingham
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Barcelona
Europa Fc
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Barcelona
Valencia
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
3
1
W
13.05.26
La
Barcelona
Alaves
0
1
L
10.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
W
02.05.26
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
1
W
25.04.26
La
Barcelona
Getafe
2
0
W
14.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
11.04.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
4
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
04.04.26
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
22.03.26
La
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
7
2
W
15.03.26
La
Barcelona
Sevilla
5
2
W
10.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.03.26
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
1
0
W
03.03.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Academico Viseu
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
23.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
12.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Levante
2
3
L
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
03.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Elche
3
1
W
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
22.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Alaves
3
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
1
D
06.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
L
H2H: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
2
4
W
19.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
23.11.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
2
2
D
17.02.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
1
2
W
23.09.23
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
2
W
04.06.23
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
2
1
L
09.10.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
10.05.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
06.11.21
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
3
3
D
16.05.21
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
01.10.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
3
W
27.06.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
2
2
D
09.11.19
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
1
W
04.05.19
H2H
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
2
0
L
Last matches: Barcelona
08.08.26
Fri
Barcelona
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Barcelona
Europa Fc
4
1
W
17.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Betis
3
1
W
10.05.26
La
Barcelona
Real Madrid
2
0
W
11.04.26
La
Barcelona
Espanyol
4
1
W
08.04.26
UEF
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
22.03.26
La
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
1
0
W
18.03.26
UEF
Barcelona
Newcastle
7
2
W
15.03.26
La
Barcelona
Sevilla
5
2
W
03.03.26
Cop
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
0
W
28.02.26
La
Barcelona
Villarreal
4
1
W
22.02.26
La
Barcelona
Levante
3
0
W
07.02.26
La
Barcelona
Mallorca
3
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Barcelona
FC Copenhagen
4
1
W
25.01.26
La
Barcelona
Oviedo
3
0
W
13.12.25
La
Barcelona
Osasuna
2
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Barcelona
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
02.12.25
La
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
3
1
W
29.11.25
La
Barcelona
Alaves
3
1
W
22.11.25
La
Barcelona
Athletic Club
4
0
W
H2H at home: Barcelona
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
23.09.23
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
2
W
09.10.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
10.05.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
1
W
16.05.21
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
09.11.19
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
1
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
08.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Napoli
1
1
D
05.08.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
09.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Girona
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
2
2
D
01.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Getafe
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
1
D
25.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1
3
L
12.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
20.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Cop
Celta Vigo
Albacete
2
2
D
07.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
2
0
W
H2H away: Celta Vigo
22.04.26
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
3
L
23.09.23
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
0
L
10.05.22
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
3
1
L
16.05.21
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
1
2
W
09.11.19
H2H
Barcelona
Celta Vigo
4
1
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Barcelona 3 missing
-
A. Christensen
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Raphinha
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
M. Bernal
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Celta Vigo 2 missing
-
M. Roman
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
C. Starfelt
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT