ECUADOR LIGA PRO
09.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Referee: A. Aragon
Barcelona SC
Match Timeline
Macara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
M. Viera · Assist: A. I. Campana
Macara
37'
M. Viera · Assist: M. Tello
Macara
🟨
38'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz ↔ T. Rodriguez
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
G. Vallecilla ↔ R. Perlaza
Barcelona SC
54'
S. Diaz · Assist: M. Lugo
Barcelona SC
🔄
58'
M. Tello ↔ C. Caicedo
Macara
🔄
61'
D. Benedetto ↔ J. Wila
Barcelona SC
🔄
64'
S. Diaz ↔ T. Martinez
Barcelona SC
🔄
68'
M. Ayala ↔ J. Mohor
Macara
🔄
68'
M. Viera ↔ J. Jimenez
Macara
🔄
83'
A. I. Campana ↔ J. Chala
Macara
🔄
83'
J. Estacio ↔ J. Klinger
Macara
🔄
84'
J. Intriago ↔ M. Mejia
Barcelona SC
🟨
90+1'
F. Posse
Macara

Barcelona SC vs Macara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.6%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 48.6%
Draw 13.4%
Macara Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC0.98
Macara1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
34 GF / 36 GA
Macara Macara
WLDWL
32 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
15
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
13
3.42
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 37 matches
Macara Macara 25 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Macara
14 Wins 11
10 Draws 5
13 Losses 9
34 Goals For 32
36 Goals Against 27
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
15 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 6
3.42 Shots On Goal 4.52
12.09 Total Shots 12.48
3.85 Corners 4.78
46.6% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Macara look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Macara. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Macara in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Macara having the stronger overall control.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 34 points after 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Benedetto (4 goals), J. Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from T. Martínez (2 assists), D. Benedetto (1 assists), J. Quiñónez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Macara Analysis

Macara approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 35 points after 22 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 28:22 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Franco Posse (8 goals), Federico Paz (3 goals), Luca Ferro (2 goals), with creative support from Franco Posse (3 assists), Matías Miranda (3 assists), Jose Klinger (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 7 times, Macara won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1 / Macara 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 7, draws 4, Macara wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs