Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
76.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Barcelona SC
33 matches
Libertad
19 matches
| Barcelona SC | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 18 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.26 |
| 11.97 | Total Shots | 10.05 |
| 3.72 | Corners | 3.58 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Barcelona SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Libertad in 15 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Libertad arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Barcelona SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 30 points after 18 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a 20:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), with creative support from Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Libertad approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (4 goals), G. Cortéz (3 goals), Ivan Zambrano (3 goals), with creative support from G. Cortéz (3 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 5 times, Libertad won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:7 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Barcelona SC
5
4
10
7
4
1
Lineups
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Macara
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 55 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
Barcelona SC
Home
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21:17 | 4 | 32 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 31 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Libertad
Away
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20:24 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 25 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13:21 | -8 | 23 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8:27 | -19 | 14 |
L
D
L
L
D
|