Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.17
Manchester United1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
16 GF / 11 GA
Manchester United
WLDWL
11 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
6 matches
Manchester United
7 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 11 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 21 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 72% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 3 times, Manchester United won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Chelsea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chelsea - / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 3, draws 6, Manchester United wins 6
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Johor Darul Takzim FC
3
3
D
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
24.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Sunderland
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Liverpool
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
21.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brighton
0
3
L
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Everton
0
3
L
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
11.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
2
5
L
Last matches: Manchester United
22.08.26
Pre
Manchester United
Hull City
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
AC Milan
2
4
L
12.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Wrexham
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
3
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
3
2
W
27.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
13.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
H2H: Chelsea vs Manchester United
18.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
2
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
0
W
03.11.24
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
1
D
04.04.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
4
3
W
06.12.23
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
2
1
L
25.05.23
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
4
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.04.22
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
0
D
24.10.20
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
0
0
D
19.07.20
H2H
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
3
W
17.02.20
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
2
L
30.10.19
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
2
L
Last matches: Chelsea
15.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
AC Milan
3
0
W
05.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Juventus
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Chelsea
Tottenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Chelsea
Western Sydney Wanderers
6
4
W
19.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Tottenham
2
1
W
16.05.26
FA
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1
3
L
26.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Leeds
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Chelsea
Manchester City
0
3
L
04.04.26
FA
Chelsea
Port Vale
7
0
W
17.03.26
UEF
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pre
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Burnley
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pre
Chelsea
Leeds
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
West Ham
3
2
W
21.01.26
UEF
Chelsea
Pafos
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Chelsea
Brentford
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Chelsea
Bournemouth
2
2
D
H2H at home: Chelsea
18.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
0
W
04.04.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
4
3
W
22.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
0
D
17.02.20
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
2
L
30.10.19
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
2
L
Last matches: Manchester United
22.08.26
Pre
Manchester United
Hull City
0
2
L
08.08.26
Fri
Manchester United
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Manchester United
Rosenborg
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Brighton
3
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Manchester United
Sunderland
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Manchester United
Chelsea
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Bournemouth
2
2
D
04.03.26
Pre
Manchester United
Newcastle
1
2
L
23.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
Everton
1
0
W
10.02.26
Pre
Manchester United
West Ham
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Arsenal
3
2
W
07.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Burnley
2
2
D
04.01.26
Pre
Manchester United
Leeds
1
1
D
21.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Aston Villa
1
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
Manchester United
Wolves
4
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Tottenham
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
2
2
D
19.10.25
Pre
Manchester United
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Manchester United
Brentford
1
3
L
H2H away: Manchester United
18.04.26
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
1
W
16.05.25
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
0
L
04.04.24
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
4
3
L
22.10.22
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.11.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
1
D
28.02.21
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
0
D
17.02.20
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
0
2
W
30.10.19
H2H
Chelsea
Manchester United
1
2
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Chelsea
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 |
Manchester United
Away
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship