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31.10.2026 12:30
Stamford Bridge
Referee: P. Bankes
Chelsea
Match Timeline
Manchester United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
34'
Matheus Cunha
Manchester United
⚽
50'
Morgan Rogers · Assist: Romeo Lavia
Chelsea
🔄
58'
Carlos Baleba ↔ Kobbie Mainoo
Manchester United
🟨
59'
Lisandro Martínez
Manchester United
VAR
61'
Wesley Fofana
Chelsea
🟥
63'
Lisandro Martínez
Manchester United
⚽
64'
Cole Palmer
Chelsea
🟨
65'
Harry Maguire
Manchester United
🔄
66'
Matheus Cunha ↔ Mason Mount
Manchester United
🔄
66'
Andrey Santos ↔ Ayden Heaven
Manchester United
🟨
70'
Kobbie Mainoo
Manchester United
VAR
71'
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
Chelsea
🔄
74'
Marco Palestra ↔ Pep Chavarria
Chelsea
🔄
77'
Amad Diallo ↔ Joshua Zirkzee
Manchester United
🟨
81'
Bryan Mbeumo
Manchester United
🟨
86'
Joshua Zirkzee
Manchester United
🔄
87'
Moises Caicedo ↔ Danny Welbeck
Chelsea
🔄
87'
Pedro Neto ↔ Valentin Barco
Chelsea
🔄
87'
Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves ↔ Malo Gusto
Chelsea
🟨
90+3'
Mike Penders
Chelsea
🔄
90+7'
Cole Palmer ↔ Geovany Quenda
Chelsea

Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 43.1%
Draw 23.8%
Manchester United Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea2.05
Manchester United1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea Chelsea
L W W L D
9 GF / 8 GA
Manchester United Manchester United
L L D L D
3 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2.36
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
9
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
8
5.38
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chelsea Chelsea 14 matches
Manchester United Manchester United 17 matches
Chelsea Statistic Manchester United
7 Wins 4
2 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
33 Goals For 26
26 Goals Against 27
2.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 5
5.38 Shots On Goal 5.27
13.38 Total Shots 18
5.63 Corners 5.82
46.4% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 3 times, Manchester United won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Chelsea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chelsea 7, Manchester United 6
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 3, draws 6, Manchester United wins 6

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 15:5 10 27
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 26:7 19 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 21:13 8 21
L L L W W
4 10 5 3 2 14:10 4 18
W L W W L
5 10 5 1 4 19:16 3 16
L W L W W
6 10 4 4 2 12:10 2 16
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 16:14 2 15
W W W W L
8 10 3 5 2 16:11 5 14
L W D L D
9 10 3 5 2 10:8 2 14
W L D D L
10 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
D D W W D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
L W W W D
12 10 3 3 4 13:16 -3 12
D L W L L
13 10 2 5 3 11:11 0 11
L D D L D
14 10 3 2 5 15:20 -5 11
L D D L W
15 10 2 4 4 10:12 -2 10
D D W W L
16 10 2 3 5 9:13 -4 9
W L D L L
17 10 3 0 7 10:19 -9 9
L W L L W
18 10 1 5 4 14:19 -5 8
D L L D D
19 10 2 2 6 8:17 -9 8
W L D L L
20 10 2 1 7 10:24 -14 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship