CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
13.09.2026 11:00
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich

Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.1%
1.91
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.7%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 66.1%
Draw 8.2%
Pardubice Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.36
Pardubice1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Pardubice Pardubice
WLDWL
19 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
7
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
3.14
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 18 matches
Pardubice Pardubice 16 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Pardubice
8 Wins 3
1 Draws 6
9 Losses 7
25 Goals For 19
28 Goals Against 21
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
7 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
3.14 Shots On Goal 3.71
11.86 Total Shots 12.43
5.14 Corners 4.86
46.1% Ball Possession 40.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Baník Ostrava arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 9 points compared to Pardubice in 15 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pardubice. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baník Ostrava expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Pardubice in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pardubice having the stronger overall control. Pardubice arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 10 with 9 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 4:6 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Míček (1 goals), M. Chaluš (1 goals), V. Jurečka (1 goals), with creative support from R. Nogha (1 assists), F. Kubala (1 assists), Artúr Musák (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pardubice Analysis

Pardubice sit 15 with 2 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 5:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Tobias Boledovic (2 goals), Tomáš Solil (1 goals), R. Mahuta (1 goals), with creative support from Tobias Boledovic (1 assists), M. Hlavatý (1 assists), J. Trédl (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 10 times, Pardubice won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:21 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Pardubice 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 10, draws 2, Pardubice wins 3

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 21:5 16 17
W W D D W
2 7 5 1 1 10:4 6 16
W W W D W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
W W D W D
4 7 4 1 2 13:8 5 13
W L W W W
5 7 4 1 2 10:6 4 13
W L D L W
6 7 4 1 2 15:13 2 13
W W L L D
7 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 6:6 0 11
D W L L W
9 7 2 4 1 14:12 2 10
D W D W D
10 7 3 0 4 13:12 1 9
L L W W L
11 7 3 0 4 4:13 -9 9
L L W W L
12 6 1 3 2 6:9 -3 6
L D D W D
13 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
L W L L L
14 7 0 3 4 5:12 -7 3
D D L L L
15 7 0 2 5 5:12 -7 2
D L L D L
16 7 0 0 7 6:16 -10 0
L L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs