CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
18.04.2026 13:00
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
Referee: O. Berka
Baník Ostrava
Match Timeline
Bohemians 1905
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Ristovski · Assist: A. Cermak
Bohemians 1905
🟨
22'
Lukas Hulka
Bohemians 1905
44'
J. Matousek · Assist: M. Kadlec
Bohemians 1905
🔄
46'
A. Musak ↔ F. Sancl
Baník Ostrava
🔄
46'
M. Rusnak ↔ A. Bewene
Baník Ostrava
🟨
51'
Ales Cermak
Bohemians 1905
🔄
57'
D. Holzer ↔ V. Sinyavskiy
Baník Ostrava
🔄
64'
J. Matousek ↔ Yusuf
Bohemians 1905
🔄
71'
P. Ortiz ↔ K. Pojezny
Baník Ostrava
🔄
71'
V. Jurecka ↔ J. Pira
Baník Ostrava
🟨
76'
Václav Drchal
Bohemians 1905
🔄
78'
M. Ristovski ↔ R. Hruby
Bohemians 1905
🔄
78'
V. Drchal ↔ O. Mikuda
Bohemians 1905
🔄
83'
M. Havel ↔ J. Kovarik
Bohemians 1905
🟨
90+1'
Jiří Boula
Baník Ostrava

Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50%
-
Probability Distribution
Baník Ostrava Win 52.3%
Draw 0%
Bohemians 1905 Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baník Ostrava1.08
Bohemians 19051.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WWDLW
33 GF / 53 GA
Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905
WLDWL
22 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
15
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
11
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 34 matches
Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 28 matches
Baník Ostrava Statistic Bohemians 1905
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 6
19 Losses 14
33 Goals For 22
53 Goals Against 35
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
15 BTTS Yes 11
23 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 7
16 Failed To Score 12
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.89
12.15 Total Shots 13.11
4.94 Corners 5.68
45.7% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bohemians 1905. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava sit 15 with 22 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats with a 25:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ondrej Kricfalusi (5 goals), David Lischka (4 goals), V. Jurecka (4 goals), with creative support from David Planka (4 assists), V. Jurecka (3 assists), Jiri Boula (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bohemians 1905 Analysis

With 30 points from 28 games and a place of 12, Bohemians 1905 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 22:35, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Cermak (3 goals), A. Kadlec (3 goals), Nelson Okeke (3 goals), with creative support from Vlasiy Sinyavskiy (4 assists), A. Cermak (3 assists), Lukáš Hůlka (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Baník Ostrava won 8 times, Bohemians 1905 won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:15 from Baník Ostrava's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1 / Bohemians 1905 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Baník Ostrava wins 8, draws 4, Bohemians 1905 wins 3

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation