ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
20.04.2026 20:15
Florencio Sola
Referee: Bryan Ferreyra,
Banfield
Match Timeline
Independ. Rivadavia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
25'
D. Arboleda ↔ S. Daniele
Banfield
🟨
26'
Santiago Daniele
Banfield
🟨
31'
Alejo Osella
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
54'
Ignacio Pais
Banfield
🔄
63'
N. Pais ↔ L. Villegas
Banfield
🔄
63'
D. Zalazar ↔ N. Moreno
Banfield
🔄
64'
L. Bucca ↔ A. Arce
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
64'
D. Crego ↔ S. Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
67'
E. Bonifacio ↔ L. Gomez
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
78'
T. Perrotta ↔ F. Anselmo
Banfield
🔄
78'
L. Gomez ↔ L. Pinero
Banfield
🔄
83'
F. Sartori ↔ B. Dadin
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
83'
G. Rios ↔ T. Bottari
Independ. Rivadavia

Banfield vs Independ. Rivadavia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Banfield Win 36.9%
Draw 9.5%
Independ. Rivadavia Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Banfield1.08
Independ. Rivadavia1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Banfield Banfield
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
6
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
3.54
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Banfield Banfield 14 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 matches
Banfield Statistic Independ. Rivadavia
5 Wins 12
1 Draws 2
8 Losses 2
17 Goals For 28
17 Goals Against 14
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
6 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
3.54 Shots On Goal 4.93
11.46 Total Shots 12.87
3.38 Corners 3.8
39.7% Ball Possession 43.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Banfield expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independ. Rivadavia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independ. Rivadavia. Independ. Rivadavia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 118 points while Banfield sit 26 on 89, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Banfield Analysis

Banfield approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 26 with 89 points from 86 matches. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the 0:0 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Mendez (6 goals), L. Gomez (3 goals), T. Perrotta (3 goals), with creative support from M. Mendez (3 assists), S. Lopez (3 assists), I. Abraham (3 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independ. Rivadavia Analysis

So far, Independ. Rivadavia have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 118 points from 86 matches. The record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Sartori (5 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), José Florentín (3 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (4 assists), R. Atencio (3 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Banfield won 7 times, Independ. Rivadavia won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Banfield's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
Predicted formations: Banfield 4-4-2 / Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Banfield wins 7, draws 2, Independ. Rivadavia wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W D L W L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W D W L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W D L W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L D W W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L W W D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W L L W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
D D L W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D L L L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D L L L W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L W W W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L L W L D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D D W L D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L D L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D D L L D
Knockout Phase