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17.10.2026 16:00
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Referee: E. Barbara

Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.4%
Odds 2.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.74
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.4%
2.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.74 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Balzan FC Win 73.4%
Draw 5.8%
Zabbar St. Patrick Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Balzan FC1.3
Zabbar St. Patrick0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Balzan FC Balzan FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 9 GA
Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick
WLDWL
7 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Balzan FC Balzan FC 10 matches
Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 9 matches
Balzan FC Statistic Zabbar St. Patrick
3 Wins 1
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
12 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 13
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Balzan FC's more proactive style and Zabbar St. Patrick's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Balzan FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 9 points compared to Zabbar St. Patrick in 9 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Zabbar St. Patrick. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zabbar St. Patrick having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Balzan FC Analysis

Balzan FC are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 9:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Zabbar St. Patrick have collected 5 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 5:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Balzan FC won 0 times, Zabbar St. Patrick won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Balzan FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Balzan FC wins 0, draws 1, Zabbar St. Patrick wins 3

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:10 5 17
W W L W D
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W D W L
3 7 4 2 1 17:8 9 14
D W L W D
4 7 3 3 1 10:8 2 12
D D L D W
5 7 3 2 2 11:8 3 11
D W W W D
6 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
D D W W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:7 3 10
D D D W W
8 8 3 1 4 9:8 1 10
L L W D L
9 7 1 3 3 6:11 -5 6
D L D L D
10 7 1 2 4 6:11 -5 5
L L D L D
11 7 0 3 4 4:15 -11 3
D D D L L
12 7 0 1 6 3:16 -13 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)