RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

16.08.2026 16:30

Baltika

1 - 2

Spartak Moscow

Rostec Arena

Referee: Andrey Prokopov, Russia

Baltika

Match Timeline

Spartak Moscow

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Baltika vs Spartak Moscow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 62.3%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	62.3%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Baltika Win 37.7%

Draw 22.9%

Spartak Moscow Win 39.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Baltika1.61

Spartak Moscow1.32

Recent Form (Last 5)

Baltika

WWDLW

31 GF / 10 GA

Spartak Moscow

WLDWL

21 GF / 11 GA

Key Stats

2.07

Average Goals Scored

1.75

0.67

Average Goals Conceded

0.92

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baltika 15 matches

Spartak Moscow 12 matches

Baltika	Statistic	Spartak Moscow
10	Wins	8
3	Draws	2
2	Losses	2
31	Goals For	21
10	Goals Against	11
2.07	Avg Goals Scored	1.75
0.67	Avg Goals Conceded	0.92
6	BTTS Yes	6
11	Over 1.5	9
8	Over 2.5	6
4	Over 3.5	2
9	Clean Sheets	5
1	Failed To Score	2
4	Shots On Goal	5.33
11.67	Total Shots	16
3	Corners	7.67
32%	Ball Possession	65%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Baltika won 3 times, Spartak Moscow won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Baltika's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)

Predicted formations: Baltika 5-4-1 / Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1

Missing players: Baltika 2, Spartak Moscow 1

H2H summary: Baltika wins 3, draws 0, Spartak Moscow wins 4

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	8	6	2	0	14:7	7	20	D D W W W
2	Dynamo	8	5	1	2	11:8	3	16	W W W W L
3	CSKA Moscow	8	4	4	0	12:8	4	16	D W D W W
4	Spartak Moscow Away	8	5	1	2	15:7	8	16	W L D W W
5	Zenit	8	5	0	3	16:7	9	15	W L W L W
6	Dinamo Makhachkala	8	4	0	4	14:13	1	12	L W L L W
7	Baltika Home	8	3	2	3	12:9	3	11	D L W D L
8	Rubin	8	2	5	1	11:10	1	11	D D W D D
9	Akhmat	8	2	4	2	13:11	2	10	W D D W L
10	Krylia Sovetov	8	2	4	2	12:13	-1	10	W D D W L
11	FC Orenburg	8	1	5	2	7:10	-3	8	L D D D D
12	FC Rostov	8	2	2	4	10:14	-4	8	L W L L D
13	Lokomotiv	8	1	3	4	7:10	-3	6	L W L L D
14	Akron	8	0	5	3	9:18	-9	5	D D D L D
15	Rodina Moskva	8	1	1	6	9:21	-12	4	L L L L D
16	Fakel	8	0	3	5	6:12	-6	3	D L L D L

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL