Baltika vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80.1%
|
1.97 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.87 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.13 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.3%
|
1.35 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.99 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Baltika
Lokomotiv
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Baltika
18 matches
Lokomotiv
22 matches
| Baltika | Statistic | Lokomotiv |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 11 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 44 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 13.33 | Total Shots | 13.67 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 2.83 |
| 36% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Baltika's more proactive style and Lokomotiv's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Baltika arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 7 points compared to Lokomotiv in 14 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baltika expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Lokomotiv in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv having the stronger overall control.
Baltika are currently 7 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Brayan Gil (2 goals), Sergey Varatynov (1 goals), Nikolay Titkov (1 goals), with creative support from Nathan Gassama (2 assists), Sergey Varatynov (1 assists), Aymane Mourid (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Lokomotiv sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Aleksandr Silyanov (1 goals), Zelimkhan Bakaev (1 goals), Aleksey Batrakov (1 goals), with creative support from Aleksandr Silyanov (1 assists), Zelimkhan Bakaev (1 assists), Aleksey Batrakov (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Baltika won 1 times, Lokomotiv won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Baltika's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 16 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 15 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Baltika
Home
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Lokomotiv
Away
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 14 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
L
D
L
|