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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 17:45
Rostec Arena

Baltika vs FC Rostov Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Baltika Win 36.2%
Draw 35.9%
FC Rostov Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Baltika1.76
FC Rostov1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Baltika Baltika
WWDLW
40 GF / 19 GA
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WLDWL
29 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
14
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Baltika Baltika 22 matches
FC Rostov FC Rostov 22 matches
Baltika Statistic FC Rostov
11 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
40 Goals For 29
19 Goals Against 37
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 7
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.7 Total Shots 13.6
4.9 Corners 4.3
40.5% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Baltika's more proactive style and FC Rostov's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Rostov. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Baltika expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FC Rostov in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Rostov having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Rostov arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Baltika Analysis

Baltika are currently 10 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Gil (4 goals), N. Titkov (2 goals), C. Offor (2 goals), with creative support from N. Gassama (2 assists), B. Gil (1 assists), N. Titkov (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Rostov Analysis

With 11 points from 10 games and a place of 11, FC Rostov still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:17 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Suleymanov (2 goals), I. Komarov (2 goals), A. Langovich (1 goals), with creative support from A. Langovich (2 assists), K. Kuchaev (2 assists), O. Olusegun (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Baltika won 1 times, FC Rostov won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Baltika's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.1%)
Predicted formations: Baltika 5-4-1 / FC Rostov 4-3-3
H2H summary: Baltika wins 1, draws 3, FC Rostov wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL