WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Maes Tegid
Referee: I. A. Griffith
Bala Town
Match Timeline
Briton Ferry
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
61'
A. Gammond
Briton Ferry
🔄
67'
T. Walters ↔ S. Snaith
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
M. Bates ↔ R. Dyer
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
L. Cooper ↔ C. Hurford
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
T. Price ↔ R. George
Briton Ferry
🔄
68'
A. Gammond ↔ O. Anderson
Briton Ferry
🔄
69'
L. Higgins ↔ C. Fisher
Bala Town
🔄
69'
S. Billington ↔ H. Dean
Bala Town
73'
J. Tarasenko
Bala Town
🔄
87'
C. Ferguson ↔ H. Mehasseb
Bala Town
89'
R. Owen
Briton Ferry
89'
S. Snaith
Briton Ferry

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Bala Town Win 22.3%
Draw 11.5%
Briton Ferry Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bala Town1.21
Briton Ferry1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bala Town Bala Town
WWDLW
32 GF / 43 GA
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WLDWL
44 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
12
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bala Town Bala Town 31 matches
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 31 matches
Bala Town Statistic Briton Ferry
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 9
15 Losses 11
32 Goals For 44
43 Goals Against 46
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
12 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Briton Ferry. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Briton Ferry having the stronger overall control.

Bala Town Analysis

Bala Town are currently 10 in the standings with 23 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 19:30 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Ferguson (8 goals), H. Mehasseb (7 goals), J. Tarasenko (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry are currently 8 in the standings with 25 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:40 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Walters (12 goals), O. Anderson (6 goals), R. Davies (6 goals), with creative support from T. Walters (1 assists), O. Anderson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Bala Town won 2 times, Briton Ferry won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Bala Town's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
H2H summary: Bala Town wins 2, draws 2, Briton Ferry wins 3

Lineups

Bala Town
Formation
Briton Ferry
J. Torrance
J. Torrance
L. Hall
L. Hall
W. Bell
W. Bell
L. Mendes
L. Mendes
J. Tarasenko
J. Tarasenko
J. Owen
J. Owen
L. Higgins
L. Higgins
T. Kelly
T. Kelly
C. Ferguson
C. Ferguson
R. White
R. White
S. Billington
S. Billington
R. Wilson
R. Wilson
L. Bates
L. Bates
K. Jenkins
K. Jenkins
A. Gammond
A. Gammond
K. Williams
K. Williams
T. Price
T. Price
T. Walters
T. Walters
R. Owen
R. Owen
L. Cooper
L. Cooper
M. Bates
M. Bates
J. Fanning
J. Fanning
Bala Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Torrance
3
L. Hall
5
W. Bell
7
L. Mendes
9
J. Tarasenko
⚽ 73'
10
J. Owen
11
L. Higgins
↓ 69'
16
T. Kelly
22
C. Ferguson
↓ 87'
23
R. White
27
S. Billington
↓ 69'
Substitutes
15
C. Salisbury
21
C. Fisher
↑ 69'
29
T. Dogan
42
L. Parsonage
44
H. Dean
↑ 69'
77
L. Beck
99
H. Mehasseb
↑ 87'
Briton Ferry 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Wilson
2
L. Bates
3
K. Jenkins
4
A. Gammond
↓ 68' 🟨 61'
6
K. Williams
8
T. Price
↓ 68'
9
T. Walters
↓ 67'
12
R. Owen
⚽ 89'
15
L. Cooper
↓ 68'
22
M. Bates
↓ 68'
23
J. Fanning
Substitutes
13
W. Fuller
7
R. Dyer
↑ 68'
10
S. Snaith
⚽ 89' ↑ 67'
11
C. Hurford
↑ 68'
18
R. George
↑ 68'
20
O. Anderson
↑ 68'
21
D. Packer
Last matches: Bala Town
03.04.26
Pre
Bala Town
llanelli AFC
5
0
W
28.03.26
Pre
Bala Town
Cardiff MET
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Bala Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
llanelli AFC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Bala Town
Flint Town United
3
4
L
13.01.26
Pre
Bala Town
Flint Town United
4
0
W
06.01.26
Pre
Bala Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
31.12.25
Pre
Bala Town
Caernarfon Town
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Bala Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
15.11.25
Pre
Bala Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.11.25
Pre
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
31.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
Barry Town
0
0
D
10.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
Last matches: Briton Ferry
03.04.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
28.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Flint Town United
0
0
D
16.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Flint Town United
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
23.01.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
llanelli AFC
3
1
W
13.01.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
31.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Barry Town
2
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Penybont
1
1
D
21.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
16.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
09.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
The New Saints
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Flint Town United
2
2
D
07.11.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
1
4
L
25.10.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
11.10.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
3
L
H2H: Bala Town vs Briton Ferry
18.04.26
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
L
21.02.26
H2H
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
1
L
07.11.25
H2H
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
28.09.24
H2H
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
04.02.23
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
Last matches: Bala Town
21.03.26
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
llanelli AFC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Bala Town
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Bala Town
Flint Town United
3
4
L
31.12.25
Pre
Bala Town
Caernarfon Town
0
1
L
05.12.25
Pre
Bala Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pre
Bala Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
31.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
Barry Town
0
0
D
07.10.25
Pre
Bala Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
26.09.25
Pre
Bala Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pre
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
06.09.25
Pre
Bala Town
Penybont
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Bala Town
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pre
Bala Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bala Town
18.04.26
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
L
19.09.25
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
04.02.23
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
Last matches: Briton Ferry
28.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
13.03.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Flint Town United
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
26.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Penybont
1
1
D
21.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
16.12.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Caernarfon Town
1
4
L
07.10.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Barry Town
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Flint Town United
1
2
L
19.09.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Bala Town
2
2
D
30.08.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
Colwyn Bay
2
2
D
22.08.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
llanelli AFC
4
2
W
10.08.25
Pre
Briton Ferry
The New Saints
3
0
W
H2H away: Briton Ferry
18.04.26
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
1
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
2
0
L

Standings

Cymru Premier
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 59:19 40 53
W W W L W
2 22 14 5 3 48:25 23 47
D L D W W
3 22 11 5 6 36:31 5 38
W W L L D
4 22 9 7 6 44:32 12 34
W W L L L
5 22 7 9 6 33:25 8 30
L L W D W
6 22 8 6 8 29:25 4 30
L D L D W
7 22 6 10 6 33:36 -3 28
D L W W L
8 22 6 7 9 32:40 -8 25
W W L D W
9 22 6 6 10 30:39 -9 24
L W W W W
10 22 6 5 11 19:30 -11 23
L W L W D
11 22 5 6 11 34:48 -14 21
D L L D D
12 22 2 2 18 12:59 -47 8
L L W L L
Championship round
Relegation Round