Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bahia
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bahia
23 matches
Corinthians
26 matches
| Bahia | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 34 | Goals For | 30 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.1 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 4.72 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Bahia's more proactive style and Corinthians's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Corinthians. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bahia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Corinthians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Bahia are currently 6 in the standings with 29 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Juba (6 goals), Everaldo (4 goals), David Duarte (2 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (4 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), David Duarte (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Corinthians sit 12 with 24 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on André Luiz (3 goals), Rodrigo Garro (2 goals), Matheus Bidu (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bahia won 5 times, Corinthians won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Bahia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Bahia
2
2
8
1
3
2
Lineups
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Coritiba
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Internacional
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Remo
Corinthians
Cascavel
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
Platense
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Fluminense
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
Cascavel
Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
Penarol
Corinthians
Botafogo
Corinthians
Santa Fe
Corinthians
Mirassol
Corinthians
Vitoria
Corinthians
Platense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Home
|
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Corinthians
Away
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|