Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
AZ Alkmaar Win 0%
Draw 0%
Willem II Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
AZ Alkmaar2.27
Willem II1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
AZ Alkmaar
WWDLW
21 GF / 9 GA
Willem II
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
8
Shots on Goal
1.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AZ Alkmaar
9 matches
Willem II
6 matches
| AZ Alkmaar | Statistic | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 21 | Goals For | 8 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.17 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 20.67 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 11 | Corners | 1.5 |
| 59% | Ball Possession | 31.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 7 times, Willem II won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:21 from AZ Alkmaar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1 / Willem II 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: AZ Alkmaar wins 7, draws 4, Willem II wins 4
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
22.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
4
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
02.08.26
Sup
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Zulte Waregem
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
10.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
23.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
GO Ahead Eagles
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen
0
3
L
19.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
4
0
W
Last matches: Willem II
15.08.26
Ere
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
08.08.26
Ere
Willem II
GO Ahead Eagles
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Willem II
OFI
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Willem II
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Willem II
Quick Boys
1
2
L
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
20.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
0
W
13.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
1
D
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
17.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
3
0
W
12.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
03.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
28.03.26
Eer
Willem II
De Graafschap
0
2
L
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
H2H: AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II
02.02.25
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
2
L
20.03.22
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
18.12.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
4
1
W
03.04.21
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
0
1
W
20.12.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
5
3
W
18.01.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
3
L
06.10.19
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
28.02.19
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
24.02.19
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
L
01.12.18
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
0
2
L
28.01.18
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
0
2
W
04.11.17
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
3
2
W
19.02.17
H2H
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.09.16
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
2
0
W
Last matches: AZ Alkmaar
08.08.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
ADO Den Haag
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Genk
4
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Anderlecht
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City FC
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
AZ Alkmaar
Gent
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda
3
3
D
03.05.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2
2
D
16.04.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Praha
2
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
08.02.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1
1
D
31.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
1
3
L
21.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
AZ Alkmaar
FC Volendam
1
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
AZ Alkmaar
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
H2H at home: AZ Alkmaar
10.11.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
2
L
18.12.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
4
1
W
20.12.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
5
3
W
18.01.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
3
L
01.12.18
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
0
2
L
04.11.17
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
3
2
W
10.09.16
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
2
0
W
Last matches: Willem II
08.08.26
Ere
Willem II
GO Ahead Eagles
1
4
L
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
13.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
1
0
W
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Willem II
FC OSS
3
1
W
27.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Emmen
3
0
W
16.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
18.01.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
2
0
W
21.12.25
Eer
Willem II
Helmond Sport
2
2
D
28.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Den Bosch
1
2
L
21.11.25
Eer
Willem II
VVV Venlo
2
0
W
03.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
2
L
20.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
0
4
L
17.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
3
2
W
27.09.25
Eer
Willem II
Vitesse
2
1
W
H2H away: Willem II
10.11.24
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
2
W
18.12.21
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
4
1
L
20.12.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
5
3
L
18.01.20
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
1
3
W
01.12.18
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
0
2
W
04.11.17
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
3
2
L
10.09.16
H2H
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
2
0
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
Home
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Willem II
Away
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie