BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio da Ressacada
Referee: W. do Nascimento
Avai
Match Timeline
Novorizontino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
Patrick ↔ Kauan Alemao
Novorizontino
🟨
15'
Allyson
Avai
23'
Luiz Henrique
Avai
🟨
29'
Thayllon Roberth
Avai
🟨
30'
Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
🟥
42'
Walace dos Santos França
Avai
🔄
42'
Allyson ↔ Guilherme Aquino
Avai
🟨
45'
Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
🟥
45'
Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Tavinho ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
48'
Robson · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🔄
57'
Thayllon ↔ Sorriso
Avai
🔄
68'
Luiz Henrique ↔ Paulo Vitor
Avai
🔄
68'
Jean Lucas ↔ Rafael Bilu
Avai
🔄
72'
Robson ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
74'
Romulo · Assist: Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
80'
Wallison ↔ Wesley Gasolina
Avai
🔄
80'
Ze Ricardo ↔ F. Avenatti
Avai
🔄
83'
Romulo ↔ Marlon
Novorizontino
🔄
83'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Helio Borges
Novorizontino
🟨
90+10'
Guilherme Aquino
Avai
🟨
90+7'
Paulo Vitor
Avai
🟨
90+6'
Wesley Gasolina
Avai
🔄
90'
↔ N. Castrillon
Novorizontino
90'
Rafael Bilu · Assist: Wesley Gasolina
Avai
90'
Leo Naldi
Novorizontino
90'
Paulo Vitor
Avai

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 33.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
33.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 33.7%
Draw 32.6%
Novorizontino Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.1
Novorizontino1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 6 matches
Novorizontino Novorizontino 6 matches
Avai Statistic Novorizontino
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
7 Goals For 7
6 Goals Against 6
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.17
13.5 Total Shots 16.17
5.17 Corners 7.17
49.2% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Novorizontino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Avai Analysis

Avai sit 11 with 8 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Walace Franca (3 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), Jean Lucas (1 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Novorizontino Analysis

Novorizontino are currently 12 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carlao (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), Diego Galo (1 goals), with creative support from Juninho (2 assists), Romulo (2 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 2 times, Novorizontino won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Avai's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (67.4%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 2, draws 3, Novorizontino wins 3
Stats
Avai Avai
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
0
0 Corner Kicks 0
0 Fouls 0
0 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
0 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
6 Total passes 5
3 Passes accurate 4
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Avai
Formation
Novorizontino
Leo Aragao
Leo Aragao
Wallison
Wallison
Allyson
Allyson
Bruno Baldini
Bruno Baldini
DG
DG
Ze Ricardo
Ze Ricardo
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
Thayllon
Thayllon
Daniel Penha
Daniel Penha
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Walace Franca
Walace Franca
Cesar Augusto
Cesar Augusto
Dantas
Dantas
Carlinhos
Carlinhos
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
Leo Naldi
Leo Naldi
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Tavinho
Tavinho
Robson
Robson
Romulo
🎯
Romulo
Avai 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
Leo Aragao
G
2
Wallison
↓ 80'
D
3
Allyson
↓ 42' 🟨 15'
D
55
Bruno Baldini
D
36
DG
D
77
Ze Ricardo
↓ 80'
M
8
Luiz Henrique
⚽ 23' ↓ 68'
M
43
Thayllon
↓ 57' 🟨 29'
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
10
Jean Lucas
↓ 68'
M
57
Walace Franca
🟥 42'
F
Substitutes
1
Igor Bohn
G
52
Wesley Gasolina
🎯 90' ↑ 80' 🟨 90+6'
D
95
Wenderson
M
25
Paulo Vitor
⚽ 90' ↑ 68' 🟨 90+7'
M
18
Hyan
M
15
Guilherme Aquino
↑ 42' 🟨 90+10'
D
11
Sorriso
↑ 57'
F
9
F. Avenatti
↑ 80'
F
7
Rafael Bilu
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
F
5
Romildo Del Piage
M
29
Marcio Vitor
F
16
Jamerson
M
Novorizontino 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
Cesar Augusto
G
25
Dantas
D
3
Carlinhos
D
4
Patrick
↓ 10'
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
16
Vinicius Paiva
↓ 83'
M
18
Leo Naldi
⚽ 90'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
🟨 30' 🟨 45' 🟥 45'
M
15
Tavinho
↓ 46'
M
11
Robson
⚽ 48' ↓ 72'
F
10
Romulo
⚽ 74' 🎯 48' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
93
Jordi
G
19
Diego Galo
M
21
Kauan Alemao
↑ 10'
D
8
C. Ortiz
F
28
Marlon
↑ 83'
M
20
N. Castrillon
↑ 90'
D
77
Helio Borges
↑ 83'
F
50
Juninho
🎯 74' ↑ 46'
M
22
Ivan Alvarino
M
9
Carlao
↑ 72'
F
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H: Avai vs Novorizontino
03.05.26
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
30.04.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Avai
1
2
W
03.08.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Avai
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
1
D
23.10.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Avai
2
0
L
08.07.24
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
0
1
L
11.09.23
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
0
W
24.05.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Avai
2
0
L
Last matches: Avai
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
03.05.26
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
06.04.25
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
0
1
L
11.09.23
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
0
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
H2H away: Novorizontino
03.05.26
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
06.04.25
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
1
D
08.07.24
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
0
1
W
11.09.23
H2H
Avai
Novorizontino
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17
Avai Home
19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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