BRAZIL SERIE B
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Ressacada
Referee: L. Bellote

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds 2.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.7%
2.67
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.43
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Avai Win 56.7%
Draw 4.6%
Atletico Goianiense Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avai1.06
Atletico Goianiense1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avai Avai
WWDLW
27 GF / 30 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
27 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
12
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avai Avai 24 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 24 matches
Avai Statistic Atletico Goianiense
8 Wins 9
5 Draws 9
11 Losses 6
27 Goals For 27
30 Goals Against 23
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
12 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 7
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.46
11.25 Total Shots 14.13
3.71 Corners 5.92
47.2% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Atletico Goianiense's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Goianiense. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Avai Analysis

Avai approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 26 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:30 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Sorriso (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (3 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 11 with 33 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Soares Geovany (2 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 1 times, Atletico Goianiense won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Avai's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Avai 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Avai wins 1, draws 5, Atletico Goianiense wins 9
Last matches: Avai
23.08.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.08.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.08.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
28.07.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.07.26
Ser
Avai
São Bernardo
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Avai
Botafogo SP
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Avai
Athletic Club
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Avai
Londrina
2
3
L
10.06.26
Ser
Avai
Ceara
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Avai
Vila Nova
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
26.04.26
Ser
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
25.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
3
0
W
18.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
0
0
D
15.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
0
2
L
09.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
27.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
3
1
W
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
H2H: Avai vs Atletico Goianiense
26.04.26
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
L
16.09.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
20.05.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
0
0
D
01.10.22
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
08.06.22
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
L
06.11.18
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
2
D
17.07.18
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
01.10.17
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
14.06.17
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
3
1
L
08.10.16
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
3
0
L
21.06.16
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
15.10.14
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
0
L
15.07.14
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
Last matches: Avai
19.08.26
Ser
Avai
Sport Recife
2
1
W
11.08.26
Ser
Avai
CRB
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ser
Avai
America Mineiro
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Avai
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Avai
Cuiaba
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Avai
Criciuma
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Avai
Goias
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Avai
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Avai
Novorizontino
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Avai
Ponte Preta
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Avai
Operario-PR
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Avai
Juventude
2
0
W
H2H at home: Avai
10.05.25
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
01.10.22
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
17.07.18
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
01.10.17
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
L
21.06.16
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
15.07.14
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
18.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico Goianiense
10.05.25
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
W
01.10.22
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
W
17.07.18
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
01.10.17
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
0
2
W
21.06.16
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
15.07.14
H2H
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.92
Draw 2.96
Home 2.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.03
Home 3.39
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.78
Over 2.25 2.11
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 2.75 2.75
Over 3.5 4.58
Under 1.5 2.79
Under 1.75 2.43
Under 2.0 2.05
Under 2.25 1.73
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.45
Under 3.5 1.19
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 3.20
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.00
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.25
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.30
Over 3.5 4.33
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.60
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.89
Draw 2.94
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.81
Draw 1.88
Home 3.27
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 2.20
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.53
Over 2.0 1.72
Over 2.25 2.05
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 2.75 2.72
Over 3.0 3.54
Over 3.25 3.88
Over 3.5 4.25
Over 3.75 5.40
Over 4.0 7.90
Over 4.25 7.70
Over 4.5 8.70
Over 5.5 23.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.65
Under 0.75 6.05
Under 1.0 5.40
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 2.56
Under 1.75 2.27
Under 2.0 1.95
Under 2.25 1.73
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.37
Under 3.0 1.23
Under 3.25 1.18
Under 3.5 1.15
Under 3.75 1.09
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.00
Home 2.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.02
Home 3.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.35
Home 2.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.50
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.28
Over 2.75 2.70
Over 3.5 4.30
Over 4.5 9.00
Under 0.5 7.50
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 1.75 2.45
Under 2.0 2.10
Under 2.25 1.77
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.5 1.19
Under 4.5 1.04

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16
Avai Home
24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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