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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
06.09.2026 00:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
Austin
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
B. Leroux · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
VAR
12'
Facundo Torres
Austin
🔄
61'
O. Svatok ↔ J. Bell
Austin
🔄
61'
J. Gallagher ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🟨
65'
Reid Roberts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
69'
O. Bouda ↔ P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
70'
J. Alastuey ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
70'
J. Rosales ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
75'
M. Desler ↔ B. Hines-Ike
Austin
🔄
81'
J. Ricketts ↔ Vitor Costa
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
81'
B. Kikanovic ↔ J. Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
81'
N. Tsakiris ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
87'
Brad Stuver
Austin
🔄
88'
E. Lowen ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
90'
Guilherme Biro · Assist: C. Ramirez
Austin

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 45.1%
Draw 5.2%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.28
San Jose Earthquakes1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
35 GF / 49 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
46 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
15
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
4.14
Shots on Goal
5.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 30 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 matches
Austin Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
8 Wins 13
8 Draws 4
14 Losses 10
35 Goals For 46
49 Goals Against 39
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
15 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 21
18 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 5
4.14 Shots On Goal 5.09
10.55 Total Shots 13.18
4.36 Corners 6.14
48.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. San Jose Earthquakes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Austin sit 14 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Jose Earthquakes. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Austin expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and San Jose Earthquakes in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Jose Earthquakes having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Austin Analysis

With 21 points from 21 games and a place of 14, Austin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with a 26:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (2 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes sit 4 with 33 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 39:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 2 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:29 from Austin's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Austin 3-4-2-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Austin 1, San Jose Earthquakes 6
H2H summary: Austin wins 2, draws 7, San Jose Earthquakes wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)