🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.09.2026 00:30
Q2 Stadium
Referee: S. Demianchuk
Austin
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
27'
Y. Maziz ↔ J. Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+4'
Josh Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
I. Sanchez ↔ J. Alastuey
Austin
🔄
58'
J. Gallagher ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
58'
B. Vazquez ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🟨
62'
Reggie Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🔄
69'
D. Phillip ↔ G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
79'
F. Torres · Assist: Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
82'
B. Sabovic ↔ P. Placheta
Austin
🔄
86'
M. Navarro ↔ J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
🔄
86'
D. Yapi ↔ A. Harris
Colorado Rapids

Austin vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds 2.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.88
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.1%
2.50
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.88
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Austin Win 55.1%
Draw 6.4%
Colorado Rapids Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Austin1.29
Colorado Rapids1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Austin Austin
WWDLW
36 GF / 50 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
38 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
16
BTTS Yes
13
18
Over 2.5
14
4.09
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Austin Austin 31 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 matches
Austin Statistic Colorado Rapids
8 Wins 11
9 Draws 2
14 Losses 14
36 Goals For 38
50 Goals Against 40
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
16 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 7
4.09 Shots On Goal 4
10.78 Total Shots 11.87
4.48 Corners 5
49.1% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Austin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Colorado Rapids look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colorado Rapids. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Austin Analysis

Austin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 24 points from 22 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (3 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Joseph Rosales (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Colorado Rapids have collected 31 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 31:28 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rafael Navarro (6 goals), Kosi Thompson (2 goals), Paxten Aaronson (1 goals), with creative support from Paxten Aaronson (3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Austin won 4 times, Colorado Rapids won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Austin's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Austin 4-3-3 / Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Austin 2, Colorado Rapids 6
H2H summary: Austin wins 4, draws 2, Colorado Rapids wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 26 8 7 11 44:44 0 31
D L L L W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)