Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aurora
Bolívar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aurora
15 matches
Bolívar
19 matches
| Aurora | Statistic | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 33 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.08 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 8.31 | Total Shots | 10.72 |
| 2.46 | Corners | 3.39 |
| 32.1% | Ball Possession | 36.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bolívar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aurora expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Bolívar in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bolívar having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 21 points from 12 outings, Aurora continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, while the 20:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Bolívar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 21 points after 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 26:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aurora won 3 times, Bolívar won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:31 from Aurora's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Aurora
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
The Strongest
Aurora
ABB
Aurora
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
Real Oruro
Aurora
Guabirá
Aurora
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
Always Ready
Aurora
Real Potosí
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
ABB
Aurora
Blooming
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
Always Ready
Aurora
Jorge Wilstermann
Bolívar
Always Ready
Bolívar
Real Potosí
Bolívar
Guabirá
Bolívar
The Strongest
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Fluminense
Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
Blooming
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
Fluminense
Bolívar
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
ABB
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Real Oruro
Bolívar
Cienciano
Bolívar
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
ABB
Aurora
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
Real Oruro
Aurora
Guabirá
Aurora
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Aurora
Always Ready
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
ABB
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
Jorge Wilstermann
Aurora
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
The Strongest
Aurora
Blooming
Aurora
Guabirá
Aurora
Always Ready
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Aurora
Bolívar
Aurora
Real Oruro
Bolívar
Always Ready
Bolívar
The Strongest
Bolívar
Fluminense
Bolívar
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
Blooming
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
ABB
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Cienciano
Bolívar
Oriente Petrolero
Bolívar
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
The Strongest
Bolívar
Always Ready
Bolívar
Blooming
Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
Jorge Wilstermann
Bolívar
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolívar
Real Oruro
Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:6 | 22 | 29 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Aurora
Home
|
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:15 | 6 | 22 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
| 4 |
Bolívar
Away
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 21 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:26 | -4 | 18 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 23:34 | -11 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
W
|