LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Skonto stadions
Referee: A. Anufrijevs
Auda
Match Timeline
FK Liepaja
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
V. Sorokins
FK Liepaja
22'
J. Vergara · Assist: E. Daskevics
Auda
🟨
32'
M. Martins
FK Liepaja
🟨
34'
Y. Traore
Auda
41'
J. Vergara · Assist: K. Kone
Auda
🔄
46'
K. Leidsman ↔ D. Gueye
FK Liepaja
54'
Fellipe Vieira
FK Liepaja
64'
K. Kone · Assist: E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
67'
Y. Traore ↔ I. Kone
Auda
🔄
67'
E. Daskevics ↔ H. Ibrahim
Auda
🔄
67'
A. Traore ↔ A. Haidara
FK Liepaja
🔄
67'
C. Amatkarijo ↔ A. Ogunniyi
FK Liepaja
🔄
70'
K. Kone ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
🟨
82'
A. Arroyo
Auda
🔄
82'
↔ A. Arroyo
Auda
🔄
83'
M. Martins ↔ K. Iljins
FK Liepaja
🟨
85'
A. Korobenko
FK Liepaja
🔄
90+3'
I. Patrikejevs ↔ D. Patijcuks
FK Liepaja

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Auda Win 62.2%
Draw 17.7%
FK Liepaja Win 20.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda1.64
FK Liepaja1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Auda Auda
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WLDWL
33 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
10
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Auda Auda 17 matches
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 21 matches
Auda Statistic FK Liepaja
9 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
28 Goals For 33
23 Goals Against 34
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
10 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Auda's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Liepaja. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Auda Analysis

Auda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 25 points after 13 outings. The return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Vergara (10 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), W. Fofana (3 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (4 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), J. Vergara (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 18 points after 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 16:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gueye (3 goals), K. Leidsman (3 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (1 assists), A. Korobenko (1 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Auda won 5 times, FK Liepaja won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Auda's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
H2H summary: Auda wins 5, draws 5, FK Liepaja wins 5

Lineups

Auda
Formation
FK Liepaja
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
A. Ogunji
A. Ogunji
Y. Traore
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
🎯
E. Daskevics
K. Kone
🎯
K. Kone
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
J. Gerold
J. Gerold
J. Vergara
⚽ 2
J. Vergara
D. Petkovic
D. Petkovic
V. Sorokins
V. Sorokins
A. Korobenko
A. Korobenko
I. Korotkovs
I. Korotkovs
M. Martins
M. Martins
E. Rodolphe
E. Rodolphe
C. Amatkarijo
C. Amatkarijo
Fellipe Vieira
Fellipe Vieira
I. Patrikejevs
I. Patrikejevs
A. Traore
A. Traore
K. Leidsman
K. Leidsman
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
4
M. Ouedraogo
21
D. Melniks
22
A. Ogunji
20
Y. Traore
↓ 67' 🟨 34'
17
E. Daskevics
🎯 22' 🎯 64' ↓ 67'
47
K. Kone
⚽ 64' 🎯 41' ↓ 70'
8
E. Bongemba
46
J. Gerold
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 22' ⚽ 41'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
9
M. Diagne
↑ 70'
25
B. Diedhiou
79
I. Kone
↑ 67'
6
R. Kragliks
18
A. Arroyo
↑ 82' 🟨 82'
26
H. Lusweki
14
H. Ibrahim
↑ 67'
23
M. Fofana
FK Liepaja 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
D. Petkovic
35
V. Sorokins
🟨 15'
28
A. Korobenko
🟨 85'
33
I. Korotkovs
4
M. Martins
↓ 83' 🟨 32'
6
E. Rodolphe
31
C. Amatkarijo
↓ 67'
55
Fellipe Vieira
⚽ 54'
11
I. Patrikejevs
↓ 90+3'
8
A. Traore
↓ 67'
44
K. Leidsman
↓ 46'
Substitutes
24
D. Oss
3
K. Iljins
↑ 83'
14
D. Gueye
↑ 46'
23
A. Haidara
↑ 67'
7
A. Ogunniyi
↑ 67'
70
D. Patijcuks
↑ 90+3'
26
V. Isajevs
2
B. Straalman
22
I. Mushindi
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
Last matches: FK Liepaja
30.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
3
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
17.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
W
12.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
5
L
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
28.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
1
1
D
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
12.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
07.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
0
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
03.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
3
1
W
H2H: Auda vs FK Liepaja
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
08.04.26
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
2
W
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
27.07.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
2
0
L
24.05.25
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
0
0
D
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
2
1
L
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
09.04.24
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
14.04.23
H2H
FK Liepaja
Auda
1
1
D
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H at home: Auda
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
Last matches: FK Liepaja
26.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
0
5
L
03.05.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Riga
0
1
L
23.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Tukums
2
2
D
03.04.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
0
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
1
0
W
03.02.26
Fri
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
3
1
W
H2H away: FK Liepaja
22.05.26
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
L
20.10.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
2
W
09.04.25
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
L
25.09.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
0
L
21.07.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
0
L
19.05.24
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
30.07.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
07.05.23
H2H
Auda
FK Liepaja
0
4
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Home
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?