Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
19 matches
Orense SC
19 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 24 | Goals For | 22 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.53 | Shots On Goal | 3.74 |
| 12.42 | Total Shots | 9.63 |
| 4.37 | Corners | 3.26 |
| 47.4% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Orense SC in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. Orense SC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Orense SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 19 matches, Mushuc Runa SC have collected 21 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 24:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Carrillo (4 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Renato Ibarra (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 23 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:24 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Herrera (5 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), Sergio Vásquez (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Valentín Burgoa (2 assists), A. Herrera (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, Orense SC won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Mushuc Runa SC
7
2
9
3
2
3
Lineups
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Orense SC
Libertad
Orense SC
Manta FC
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Macara
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Emelec
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Orense SC
Away
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|