Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
78.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
96.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
91.3%
|
- |
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Auckland
24 matches
Central Coast Mariners
24 matches
| Auckland | Statistic | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 40 | Goals For | 34 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.38 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 16 | Total Shots | 9.96 |
| 4.96 | Corners | 3.79 |
| 50.6% | Ball Possession | 43.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Auckland's more proactive style and Central Coast Mariners's more cautious structure. Central Coast Mariners seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Auckland expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Central Coast Mariners in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Central Coast Mariners having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Coast Mariners. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Auckland arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 41 points after 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 40:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Sam Cosgrove (11 goals), J. Randall (9 goals), Lachlan Brook (8 goals), with creative support from F. De Vries (7 assists), J. Randall (6 assists), Guillermo May (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without O. Sail, F. De Vries, J. Brimmer, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
From their first 24 matches, Central Coast Mariners have collected 29 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 34:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. James Ngor (6 goals), A. Auglah (4 goals), A. McCalmont (4 goals), with creative support from M. Di Pizio (4 assists), L. Mauragis (3 assists), B. Brandtman (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without S. Clark, M. Di Pizio, T. Sainsbury, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Auckland won 2 times, Central Coast Mariners won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Auckland's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Auckland
5
6
8
5
8
2
Lineups
Auckland
Tottenham
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Melbourne City
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Macarthur
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
Perth Glory
Auckland
Melbourne City
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Perth Glory
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
Melbourne City
Auckland
Brisbane Roar
Auckland
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
Auckland
Tottenham
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Melbourne City
Auckland
Melbourne Victory
Auckland
Macarthur
Auckland
Perth Glory
Auckland
Melbourne City
Auckland
Sydney
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Auckland
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
Brisbane Roar
Auckland
Adelaide United
Auckland
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Auckland
Home
|
26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|