Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
96.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aucas
20 matches
Independiente del Valle
25 matches
| Aucas | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 18 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 22 | Goals For | 52 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 6.54 |
| 13.56 | Total Shots | 19.5 |
| 5.44 | Corners | 6.79 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while Aucas sit 2 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independiente del Valle. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a 21:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 18 matches. They have recorded 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 40:19 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Emerson Pata (6 goals), D. Reasco (5 goals), C. González (5 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), J. Sornoza (3 assists), A. Rodríguez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aucas won 2 times, Independiente del Valle won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Aucas's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Lineups
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Home
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|