GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
09.05.2026 16:30
Peristeri Stadium
Referee: M. Matsoukas
Atromitos
Match Timeline
Panetolikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
S. Zuber · Assist: E. Ukaki
Atromitos
VAR
10'
Samuel Moutoussamy
Atromitos
🟨
36'
Diego Esteban
Panetolikos
🔄
46'
G. Satsias ↔ A. Bouchalakis
Panetolikos
🔄
46'
Esteban Diego ↔ A. Matan
Panetolikos
52'
A. Matan · Assist: L. Smyrlis
Panetolikos
VAR
61'
Juan Manuel García
Panetolikos
62'
J. Garcia
Panetolikos
🟨
63'
Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
66'
Lenny Lobato ↔ K. Aleksic
Panetolikos
🔄
67'
S. Pnevmonidis ↔ G. Tzovaras
Atromitos
🔄
67'
S. Tsiloulis ↔ Quini
Atromitos
🔄
76'
J. Garcia ↔ Y. Badji
Panetolikos
🔄
77'
E. Ukaki ↔ P. Tsantilas
Atromitos
🔄
77'
M. Baku ↔ T. van Weert
Atromitos
🟨
83'
Samuel Moutoussamy
Atromitos
🔄
86'
G. Mitoglou ↔ S. Ampartzidis
Atromitos
🔄
87'
L. Smyrlis ↔ C. Manrique
Panetolikos
🟨
90+3'
Andreas Bouchalakis
Panetolikos

Atromitos vs Panetolikos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atromitos Win 74.3%
Draw 0%
Panetolikos Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atromitos1.29
Panetolikos1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atromitos Atromitos
WWDLW
38 GF / 38 GA
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WLDWL
30 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
15
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
14
3.25
Shots on Goal
2.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atromitos Atromitos 32 matches
Panetolikos Panetolikos 32 matches
Atromitos Statistic Panetolikos
10 Wins 8
10 Draws 7
12 Losses 17
38 Goals For 30
38 Goals Against 46
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
15 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 16
3.25 Shots On Goal 2.84
10.66 Total Shots 8.72
4.13 Corners 3.44
52.3% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Panetolikos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atromitos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Panetolikos in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panetolikos having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Panetolikos.

Atromitos Analysis

Atromitos approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 32 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, with a 38:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Makana Baku (7 goals), D. Jubitana (5 goals), Ognjen Ožegović (3 goals), with creative support from P. Michorl (6 assists), Makana Baku (5 assists), Jere Uronen (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panetolikos Analysis

Panetolikos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 31 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 30:46 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Aleksic (5 goals), Alexandru Mățan (4 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atromitos won 8 times, Panetolikos won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Atromitos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Atromitos 4-2-3-1 / Panetolikos 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Atromitos wins 8, draws 2, Panetolikos wins 5

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round